Race 7A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kenneth Corsig 5.1% 6.2% 6.2% 6.4% 7.4% 6.2% 8.1% 7.7% 7.7% 8.1% 9.3% 7.5% 7.6% 6.7%
Payne Donaldson 6.6% 7.2% 7.8% 6.7% 8.0% 9.3% 7.9% 8.6% 7.5% 6.5% 8.1% 7.0% 5.5% 3.5%
Trevor Davis 10.2% 9.9% 10.7% 11.5% 8.5% 8.7% 8.9% 7.7% 7.0% 6.0% 3.8% 3.4% 2.9% 0.9%
Jack Derry 4.0% 5.0% 5.0% 4.8% 6.2% 6.3% 7.2% 6.4% 7.0% 8.3% 8.3% 10.1% 10.8% 10.6%
John Majernik 5.8% 5.2% 5.5% 5.5% 7.0% 6.2% 5.8% 7.6% 8.3% 8.9% 8.3% 9.6% 8.8% 7.3%
Tanner Kelly 7.3% 7.8% 6.7% 7.8% 7.8% 8.2% 8.8% 8.3% 7.9% 7.3% 7.2% 6.5% 5.1% 3.3%
Hayden Earl 16.4% 13.9% 12.8% 11.8% 9.2% 8.0% 7.5% 6.3% 4.5% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.2% 4.3% 4.7% 4.3% 5.6% 4.9% 5.0% 6.8% 5.8% 8.5% 9.9% 11.3% 12.1% 12.7%
Connell Phillipps 6.0% 6.7% 7.1% 7.0% 6.1% 9.1% 7.6% 7.1% 8.0% 9.2% 7.6% 7.1% 6.4% 5.0%
Kyle Pfrang 15.9% 14.3% 12.4% 12.0% 10.8% 8.9% 7.3% 5.9% 4.9% 3.7% 1.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Brooks Turcotte 3.1% 3.2% 3.5% 3.9% 3.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.6% 6.2% 6.7% 8.2% 9.0% 13.7% 24.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.8% 3.8% 4.4% 5.4% 5.1% 5.1% 5.6% 6.9% 7.6% 6.6% 8.2% 10.0% 12.1% 15.5%
Madison Bashaw 5.4% 6.5% 7.0% 6.2% 7.0% 8.0% 8.5% 7.0% 8.8% 7.3% 7.8% 7.7% 7.0% 5.8%
Michael Burns 6.2% 5.9% 6.3% 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 7.1% 7.8% 8.8% 8.8% 8.6% 7.8% 7.0% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.