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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+6.97vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.11vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+6.74vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+3.48vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.74+0.03vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+1.40vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.60+2.15vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.01vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98-1.42vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-0.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.83-2.68vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-4.38vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-7.44vs Predicted
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14Washington College3.07-3.24vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-3.58vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.28-2.45vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-0.35+0.34vs Predicted
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18Michigan State University0.22-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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9.74University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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7.48Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.03Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.4Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.15SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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7.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.56Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.76Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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11.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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13.55University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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17.34Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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16.7Michigan State University0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 16.3% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 36.1% | 10.4% | 1.3% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 3.4% | 27.2% | 65.0% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 51.6% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.