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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+6.99vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+5.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+2.86vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.83+4.13vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.60+4.04vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.09vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-1.93vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.17vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+0.56vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-0.77vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+0.55vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.28+1.68vs Predicted
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13Tufts University4.08-5.77vs Predicted
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14Washington College3.07-3.23vs Predicted
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15Stanford University4.05-7.62vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.98-8.26vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University0.22-0.14vs Predicted
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18Hampton University-0.35-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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7.79Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.86Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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9.04SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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8.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.07Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.56University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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13.68University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.77Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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7.38Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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16.86Michigan State University0.220.0%1st Place
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17.2Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 14.0% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 35.5% | 11.0% | 2.1% |
| William Haeger | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 7.1% | 48.4% | 37.1% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 4.4% | 29.6% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.