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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+4.26vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+5.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.83+5.50vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+3.54vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.68vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.05+1.43vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+0.89vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.94vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.96vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.61vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-3.60vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.95-3.92vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.28+0.31vs Predicted
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14Washington College3.07-3.23vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-5.55vs Predicted
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16Michigan State University0.22+0.82vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-0.35+0.33vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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7.82Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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8.5U. S. Naval Academy3.830.0%1st Place
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7.54Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.68Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.43Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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7.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.39SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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13.31University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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10.77Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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9.45University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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16.82Michigan State University0.220.0%1st Place
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17.33Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 13.7% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 12.9% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 34.1% | 10.4% | 1.1% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Stocke | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 5.8% | 50.1% | 35.8% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 30.0% | 62.7% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.