Race 10A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jack Derry 3.9% 4.5% 5.9% 5.5% 6.2% 5.8% 6.8% 6.9% 8.2% 8.5% 9.9% 9.7% 10.8% 7.5%
Michael Burns 6.5% 5.8% 7.0% 6.7% 7.1% 7.3% 7.4% 8.0% 8.9% 9.1% 7.9% 8.4% 6.7% 3.2%
Hayden Earl 14.0% 14.8% 13.6% 12.4% 10.7% 9.6% 7.6% 5.5% 4.5% 3.2% 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
John Majernik 5.9% 5.0% 5.5% 5.6% 6.5% 7.4% 7.3% 8.0% 8.1% 8.4% 9.1% 9.2% 9.0% 5.0%
Tanner Kelly 7.3% 7.6% 7.1% 8.6% 9.2% 9.3% 8.1% 8.2% 7.5% 7.6% 6.7% 5.9% 5.0% 2.0%
Madison Bashaw 6.9% 5.8% 6.9% 7.6% 6.7% 6.9% 6.3% 8.3% 9.7% 8.8% 7.5% 8.1% 6.8% 3.8%
Trevor Davis 11.9% 11.3% 9.2% 10.5% 9.3% 8.9% 8.6% 7.6% 8.2% 5.3% 4.4% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Kyle Pfrang 16.4% 13.7% 14.0% 11.8% 10.1% 9.4% 7.5% 6.3% 4.0% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 4.9% 4.9% 5.5% 5.9% 6.9% 8.0% 8.3% 9.0% 10.5% 11.6% 11.7%
Payne Donaldson 7.4% 7.1% 7.1% 7.1% 8.2% 8.2% 8.9% 7.2% 7.9% 8.7% 7.8% 6.5% 5.0% 2.8%
Brooks Turcotte 2.8% 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 4.0% 3.8% 5.7% 4.9% 6.1% 6.9% 9.0% 12.4% 14.5% 18.1%
Connell Phillipps 6.4% 6.4% 7.7% 7.2% 8.1% 7.5% 8.0% 9.1% 8.0% 8.3% 9.0% 6.2% 5.3% 2.8%
Kenneth Corsig 5.5% 7.2% 5.1% 6.5% 6.7% 7.6% 8.2% 8.6% 7.1% 8.3% 8.9% 7.7% 8.0% 4.5%
Morgan TerMaat 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 3.6% 4.3% 3.8% 5.6% 6.5% 10.2% 15.4% 37.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.