Race 11A

owen

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Payne Donaldson 6.6% 7.8% 7.3% 7.3% 7.0% 8.3% 8.2% 9.2% 7.4% 7.2% 8.0% 6.1% 6.0% 3.4%
Madison Bashaw 5.9% 7.4% 7.2% 8.0% 6.5% 8.2% 8.2% 7.1% 8.9% 7.2% 7.7% 7.1% 7.0% 3.8%
Trevor Davis 9.9% 11.8% 10.5% 10.9% 9.5% 9.3% 7.4% 7.6% 7.0% 5.6% 4.5% 2.5% 2.4% 0.9%
Connell Phillipps 6.7% 6.8% 6.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 6.8% 8.0% 8.1% 8.9% 7.8% 7.0% 5.6% 4.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.0% 3.6% 3.8% 3.6% 4.4% 5.5% 5.8% 7.1% 7.8% 7.6% 8.1% 9.7% 11.9% 17.1%
Kenneth Corsig 5.4% 5.1% 5.8% 6.4% 6.3% 5.9% 6.8% 8.1% 8.0% 8.6% 9.6% 8.8% 8.3% 7.0%
Michael Burns 6.3% 5.9% 6.3% 6.7% 7.3% 7.0% 8.0% 7.6% 7.8% 8.2% 8.8% 7.5% 7.0% 5.5%
Jack Derry 4.5% 4.9% 5.4% 4.7% 5.7% 6.5% 6.1% 6.8% 6.7% 8.4% 8.1% 11.3% 11.9% 9.0%
Brooks Turcotte 2.6% 3.0% 3.4% 3.9% 4.3% 4.0% 5.2% 5.8% 5.5% 7.3% 9.7% 10.8% 12.4% 22.1%
Hayden Earl 15.3% 13.4% 11.8% 11.5% 9.8% 9.6% 8.4% 5.2% 4.9% 4.2% 2.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Tanner Kelly 9.1% 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.6% 7.7% 8.3% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 6.2% 6.1% 4.7% 3.7%
Kyle Pfrang 15.0% 14.3% 14.0% 10.4% 10.9% 8.0% 7.3% 6.3% 4.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.3%
John Majernik 5.1% 4.5% 5.6% 6.6% 6.9% 6.6% 7.1% 7.2% 8.1% 7.1% 8.4% 9.0% 9.5% 8.3%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.6% 3.8% 5.4% 4.2% 4.9% 5.3% 6.4% 6.9% 7.6% 7.6% 7.7% 10.4% 11.8% 14.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.