Race 12A

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Kenneth Corsig 5.5% 7.4% 6.0% 5.3% 6.9% 7.1% 7.4% 7.4% 8.2% 8.2% 7.7% 7.6% 8.0% 7.3%
Trevor Davis 11.2% 10.6% 10.1% 8.1% 10.1% 9.2% 8.5% 9.0% 6.5% 5.2% 3.8% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1%
Payne Donaldson 7.2% 6.6% 7.3% 8.1% 8.8% 6.9% 8.6% 8.3% 8.0% 8.0% 6.4% 6.3% 6.2% 3.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.5% 4.3% 4.2% 5.5% 5.0% 5.0% 6.6% 5.9% 6.9% 8.9% 8.1% 9.4% 12.1% 14.5%
Hayden Earl 15.6% 13.9% 12.9% 12.3% 8.6% 9.6% 8.1% 6.0% 5.2% 3.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2%
John Majernik 4.9% 4.9% 5.9% 5.8% 6.8% 7.0% 6.6% 7.0% 7.8% 7.5% 9.5% 9.3% 8.7% 8.4%
Jack Derry 4.7% 5.0% 4.5% 5.8% 4.8% 6.2% 5.9% 7.3% 8.5% 8.3% 8.5% 10.5% 11.1% 9.2%
Connell Phillipps 6.0% 6.5% 6.2% 7.1% 7.6% 7.3% 8.8% 7.4% 8.4% 8.6% 7.9% 6.8% 6.8% 4.5%
Kyle Pfrang 14.8% 13.9% 13.1% 11.6% 11.2% 8.9% 6.9% 5.7% 5.0% 4.3% 2.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Madison Bashaw 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 7.0% 6.8% 7.3% 6.7% 8.1% 7.3% 8.5% 8.8% 7.6% 6.7% 4.6%
Michael Burns 6.7% 6.4% 6.8% 7.0% 6.8% 7.3% 8.0% 7.3% 8.3% 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 6.9% 4.8%
Tanner Kelly 7.4% 7.3% 7.5% 8.2% 8.2% 8.0% 8.0% 8.6% 7.8% 7.0% 8.0% 6.5% 4.7% 2.9%
Brooks Turcotte 3.1% 3.6% 3.5% 3.5% 4.3% 4.7% 4.1% 5.7% 6.1% 5.9% 9.3% 10.9% 12.8% 22.4%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.4% 2.9% 4.5% 4.8% 4.3% 5.6% 6.0% 6.2% 6.1% 7.8% 9.3% 10.5% 12.2% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.