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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.28+12.22vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.60+7.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+2.72vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+3.40vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.95+2.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+1.19vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.05+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.74vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.15vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.74-4.90vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.83-2.82vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University4.01-4.27vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.45vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-3.05vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.81-0.71vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.49-6.62vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University0.22-0.24vs Predicted
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18Hampton University-0.35-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.22University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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9.11SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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5.72Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.4Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.51College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.1Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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7.73Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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7.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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14.29Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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9.38University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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16.76Michigan State University0.220.0%1st Place
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17.13Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Jassin | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 24.7% | 9.7% | 1.0% |
| Harry Scott | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 14.6% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 35.9% | 15.1% | 2.3% |
| Will Stocke | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 9.9% | 42.7% | 37.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 27.9% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.