Race 13A

owen

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tanner Kelly 8.1% 6.8% 8.2% 7.5% 8.6% 8.0% 8.3% 8.1% 8.5% 7.0% 7.3% 6.4% 4.9% 2.5%
Kenneth Corsig 4.9% 5.5% 5.9% 6.5% 5.9% 6.3% 8.9% 6.8% 8.2% 8.9% 9.0% 8.8% 7.8% 6.5%
Trevor Davis 10.3% 10.4% 10.2% 10.2% 9.6% 9.3% 9.4% 7.1% 5.8% 6.2% 4.2% 3.6% 2.5% 1.3%
Jack Derry 4.2% 4.5% 5.4% 5.2% 6.0% 6.4% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 8.5% 8.6% 9.7% 10.2% 10.9%
John Majernik 5.5% 5.8% 5.1% 5.9% 6.2% 5.8% 7.1% 8.3% 7.3% 8.0% 8.1% 9.2% 9.9% 7.9%
Payne Donaldson 6.8% 7.3% 5.9% 7.3% 8.6% 7.8% 7.9% 8.5% 8.6% 8.5% 7.5% 6.7% 4.7% 3.8%
Madison Bashaw 6.2% 6.8% 7.2% 6.5% 6.2% 7.6% 7.8% 8.2% 7.4% 7.8% 8.5% 7.0% 7.3% 5.5%
Connell Phillipps 6.6% 6.3% 6.3% 8.4% 6.7% 6.9% 7.7% 9.0% 8.2% 8.3% 8.7% 6.8% 5.5% 4.5%
Michael Burns 6.8% 5.1% 7.7% 6.1% 7.3% 8.0% 6.7% 7.8% 8.0% 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 7.4% 5.5%
Hayden Earl 14.3% 13.9% 13.6% 12.6% 10.4% 8.3% 7.2% 5.9% 5.6% 3.2% 2.2% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2%
Kyle Pfrang 16.7% 14.8% 13.3% 11.2% 9.7% 9.3% 7.6% 5.8% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.1% 4.9% 4.2% 4.1% 5.2% 5.7% 4.6% 6.9% 8.4% 7.2% 9.0% 10.8% 12.3% 13.6%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.7% 4.8% 3.9% 5.5% 5.3% 6.2% 5.3% 6.2% 6.2% 8.0% 9.0% 11.2% 11.0% 13.7%
Brooks Turcotte 2.8% 3.3% 2.9% 3.0% 4.1% 4.3% 4.9% 4.9% 6.7% 6.9% 7.9% 9.6% 14.7% 24.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.