Race 14A

owen

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Connell Phillipps 6.3% 6.3% 7.1% 8.3% 7.8% 7.4% 8.6% 7.4% 6.3% 8.3% 8.3% 6.8% 6.3% 4.7%
Michael Burns 6.3% 6.4% 5.9% 6.7% 7.1% 7.7% 7.3% 7.4% 8.5% 8.2% 8.5% 7.8% 7.2% 4.9%
Hayden Earl 16.3% 13.1% 13.2% 12.2% 10.3% 9.6% 6.2% 5.8% 5.5% 3.6% 2.1% 1.3% 0.9% 0.2%
Jack Derry 4.7% 4.5% 4.4% 5.6% 5.6% 5.6% 6.2% 7.0% 7.8% 9.0% 10.0% 8.9% 10.9% 9.8%
Payne Donaldson 6.2% 6.9% 7.8% 6.9% 8.0% 7.9% 7.8% 8.5% 8.8% 7.6% 7.7% 7.0% 5.5% 3.3%
Tanner Kelly 7.3% 7.5% 7.2% 8.0% 8.2% 8.3% 8.2% 7.5% 7.5% 7.7% 7.5% 6.2% 5.4% 3.4%
Kyle Pfrang 16.4% 15.2% 12.6% 12.4% 10.0% 8.4% 6.5% 6.6% 5.0% 3.2% 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
John Majernik 4.8% 5.2% 5.8% 5.9% 6.1% 6.9% 8.8% 7.5% 8.1% 6.9% 8.3% 8.3% 9.3% 8.1%
Kenneth Corsig 5.0% 5.3% 7.0% 6.2% 7.3% 6.6% 7.1% 7.2% 8.4% 9.2% 8.1% 9.3% 7.0% 6.5%
Madison Bashaw 4.8% 6.6% 7.0% 6.5% 7.7% 7.7% 7.8% 7.8% 8.6% 8.5% 7.8% 7.8% 6.7% 4.9%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.0% 4.2% 3.8% 3.8% 4.9% 5.4% 5.8% 6.9% 7.5% 7.0% 8.1% 10.1% 13.1% 15.5%
Trevor Davis 11.6% 10.8% 10.8% 9.7% 8.6% 9.5% 9.0% 7.6% 5.9% 5.5% 4.5% 3.0% 2.5% 1.0%
Lucia Loosbrock 4.1% 4.5% 4.3% 4.9% 4.5% 4.3% 5.9% 7.1% 6.9% 8.4% 9.2% 11.2% 11.2% 13.6%
Brooks Turcotte 2.3% 3.5% 3.2% 3.2% 3.9% 4.8% 4.9% 5.8% 5.2% 6.7% 8.5% 10.7% 13.5% 24.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.