← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.74+4.23vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.28vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont3.63+6.24vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University4.08+3.18vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.98+2.62vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+5.50vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy3.83+1.25vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.15vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.95-1.31vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.63vs Predicted
-
11Washington College3.07+0.12vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University4.05-4.27vs Predicted
-
13Yale University4.55-7.46vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University4.01-6.71vs Predicted
-
15University of Miami2.28-1.54vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida3.49-6.43vs Predicted
-
17Michigan State University0.22-0.14vs Predicted
-
18Hampton University-0.35-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.23Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
-
8.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
-
9.24University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
-
7.18Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.62Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
11.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
-
8.25U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
-
7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
7.69College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
9.37SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
-
11.12Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
-
7.73Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
5.54Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
7.29Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
13.46University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
-
9.57University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
16.86Michigan State University0.220.0%1st Place
-
17.23Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Alex Ramos | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 32.0% | 11.0% | 1.1% |
| Will Stocke | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 47.8% | 37.7% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 30.2% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.