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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+6.99vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+4.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.83+4.18vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+3.91vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.11vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.60+2.12vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98-0.32vs Predicted
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9Stanford University4.05-1.60vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.74-4.79vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+0.55vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.28+1.68vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-5.52vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.49-4.74vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.55-9.39vs Predicted
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16Washington College3.07-4.91vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University0.22-0.13vs Predicted
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18Hampton University-0.35-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Naval Academy3.830.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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8.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.12SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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7.68Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.4Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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5.21Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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13.68University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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7.48Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.26University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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5.61Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.09Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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16.87Michigan State University0.220.0%1st Place
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17.21Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Haeger | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 34.9% | 11.3% | 2.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Graham Landy | 12.4% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Colton Radenbaugh | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 7.0% | 48.4% | 37.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 4.1% | 30.0% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.