Race 2B

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ben Mueller 18.6% 17.1% 13.4% 13.2% 9.9% 8.8% 6.5% 4.5% 3.7% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Everett Botwinick 8.7% 8.2% 6.9% 7.7% 7.8% 8.0% 7.8% 7.5% 7.3% 7.8% 8.2% 6.4% 4.3% 3.1%
Ryan Potter 4.3% 3.4% 5.3% 4.8% 4.8% 5.7% 4.7% 6.8% 6.8% 8.8% 8.8% 10.8% 12.2% 13.0%
Eva Ermlich 7.4% 7.2% 7.5% 7.3% 8.9% 7.5% 9.3% 7.5% 7.8% 7.2% 7.7% 6.5% 4.5% 3.5%
Robert Ziman 5.1% 4.5% 4.8% 4.9% 5.1% 5.3% 7.1% 6.6% 7.4% 9.2% 9.1% 9.7% 10.1% 11.2%
Patrick Dolan 9.8% 9.8% 10.1% 9.8% 8.8% 9.0% 9.1% 8.0% 7.0% 6.4% 5.0% 3.2% 2.7% 1.2%
George Higham 6.2% 7.3% 8.1% 7.1% 8.5% 7.5% 7.0% 7.8% 7.7% 8.2% 7.6% 7.4% 5.5% 4.0%
Luke Zylinski 8.5% 8.1% 8.2% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 7.5% 9.2% 8.5% 6.9% 6.3% 5.5% 4.3% 2.4%
Cole Woodworth 8.4% 10.3% 10.0% 9.4% 8.8% 8.9% 7.0% 8.3% 8.0% 6.7% 5.1% 3.9% 3.4% 1.8%
Tiare Sierra 6.4% 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 8.1% 7.4% 8.8% 7.7% 8.5% 7.0% 7.4% 6.8% 6.3% 4.8%
Ben Hosford 2.4% 3.0% 3.0% 3.9% 4.5% 4.8% 5.0% 6.1% 5.8% 6.6% 8.5% 11.3% 13.4% 21.9%
Lily Flack 3.8% 3.8% 4.7% 5.5% 5.7% 5.9% 6.9% 5.2% 7.5% 7.3% 8.6% 10.1% 12.2% 13.0%
Lucija Ruzevic 6.2% 5.8% 6.6% 6.5% 5.3% 6.9% 7.2% 7.8% 7.2% 7.5% 7.6% 8.8% 9.2% 7.4%
Patrick Modin 4.2% 5.3% 4.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.9% 6.1% 6.8% 6.8% 8.1% 8.6% 9.2% 11.8% 12.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.