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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+0.43vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas1.41+3.18vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.37+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-0.25+4.93vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.20+2.93vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University1.25-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.15+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.31-3.67vs Predicted
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10Denison University-1.36+0.77vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois0.54-3.93vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.56-4.80vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University0.69-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.43University of Wisconsin4.100.7%1st Place
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5.18University of Saint Thomas1.410.0%1st Place
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3.29Northwestern University2.370.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.93University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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5.47Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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10.77Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
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7.2Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.84Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 67.8% | 23.5% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Wilson | 3.8% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Cornew | 12.9% | 25.1% | 22.6% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Brien | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 22.5% | 13.6% |
| Joe Lund | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 7.4% |
| Charlie Trost | 3.3% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Miles Lubin | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 20.1% | 12.5% |
| Sammy Barbour | 3.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 16.9% | 57.1% |
| Megan Dawson | 1.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Anthony Julian | 2.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.