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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.33+5.10vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.86+5.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+1.86vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.71+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+3.84vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.42+3.35vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.64-1.85vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University1.47-2.02vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22+0.73vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.31-3.87vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-2.55-3.65vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-3.76vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.39-0.41vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon0.11-3.17vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.38-1.43vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Western Washington University1.339.0%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Berkeley0.866.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.7814.8%1st Place
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5.27University of Southern California1.7112.7%1st Place
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8.84University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.2%1st Place
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9.35University of California at San Diego0.423.5%1st Place
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5.15Stanford University1.6413.2%1st Place
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5.98San Diego State University1.479.4%1st Place
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9.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.222.9%1st Place
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6.13University of Hawaii1.318.8%1st Place
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7.35University of Washington-2.556.0%1st Place
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8.24California Poly Maritime Academy0.535.0%1st Place
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12.59Arizona State University-0.391.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Oregon0.112.2%1st Place
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13.57Santa Clara University-1.380.5%1st Place
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14.3California State University Channel Islands-1.540.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 14.8% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Whidden | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Everett McAvoy | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 23.6% | 13.6% |
| Emily Avey | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 3.3% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 14.2% | 27.0% | 29.8% |
| Brent Lin | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 19.8% | 49.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.