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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+6.43vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+2.90vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+3.73vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.63+6.95vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.46+6.58vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.98+3.83vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.21+1.86vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.55+3.30vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.70-2.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.64vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.24-2.05vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-0.41vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-7.04vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California2.93-4.33vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.92-5.06vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.69-8.95vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University1.36-1.91vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.19-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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4.9Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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6.73Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.95SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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11.58Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.83Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.86Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.96Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.95University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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11.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
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5.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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9.94Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.05Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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15.09Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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16.86Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.3% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Robert Boger | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Zach Runci | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 36.7% | 19.3% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 14.5% | 69.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.