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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+6.02vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+2.02vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.94+5.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+2.63vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+2.31vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.58+1.21vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College0.41+2.90vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.62-2.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.10vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-1.02vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.72-1.99vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.58-5.71vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute1.30-6.09vs Predicted
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14Cornell University0.97-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.02Northeastern University1.227.6%1st Place
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4.02Tufts University2.2219.9%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Naval Academy0.944.4%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.6%1st Place
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7.31Boston University1.146.1%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University1.585.9%1st Place
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9.9SUNY Maritime College0.413.2%1st Place
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5.85Fordham University1.6210.8%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.484.1%1st Place
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8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.5%1st Place
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9.01University of Vermont0.724.9%1st Place
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6.29University of Pennsylvania1.589.7%1st Place
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6.91Webb Institute1.307.4%1st Place
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8.12Cornell University0.974.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 19.9% | 17.4% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ziman | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| George Higham | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Ben Hosford | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 24.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Modin | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.0% |
| Lily Flack | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 12.2% |
| Ryan Potter | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% |
| Cole Woodworth | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Lucija Ruzevic | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.