Race 5B

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Eva Ermlich 6.4% 6.7% 7.8% 7.4% 7.7% 8.5% 8.4% 8.5% 9.0% 8.0% 6.9% 6.8% 4.8% 3.1%
Luke Zylinski 8.5% 7.5% 8.2% 8.0% 8.8% 8.2% 9.3% 7.8% 7.6% 7.9% 6.5% 6.2% 4.0% 1.6%
Robert Ziman 4.5% 4.2% 5.0% 5.4% 5.5% 6.7% 5.7% 6.8% 7.8% 8.1% 9.6% 8.6% 10.1% 12.2%
Tiare Sierra 6.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.7% 7.2% 7.6% 6.9% 7.3% 8.8% 8.5% 8.0% 7.1% 6.8% 4.3%
Patrick Modin 4.5% 4.2% 4.4% 4.8% 5.6% 5.3% 6.0% 6.9% 6.9% 7.5% 9.1% 10.8% 10.8% 13.2%
Lily Flack 3.5% 5.1% 4.7% 4.8% 4.7% 4.9% 7.1% 6.8% 7.3% 7.0% 9.7% 10.2% 11.8% 12.4%
Everett Botwinick 8.1% 7.5% 7.8% 9.4% 7.9% 6.9% 7.6% 8.2% 6.9% 8.2% 7.0% 6.2% 4.7% 3.6%
Ben Mueller 20.8% 16.4% 16.1% 9.8% 9.0% 8.5% 6.4% 5.5% 3.4% 1.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Potter 3.6% 3.9% 5.1% 4.9% 5.3% 5.9% 5.7% 6.9% 6.8% 7.5% 8.6% 11.1% 11.5% 13.2%
Benjamin Honig 9.9% 11.6% 8.7% 10.5% 11.0% 10.0% 8.2% 8.2% 6.2% 6.2% 3.1% 3.0% 2.5% 0.7%
George Higham 6.4% 7.7% 6.9% 6.9% 7.8% 8.2% 7.7% 8.3% 8.1% 7.3% 8.0% 6.5% 6.2% 4.0%
Ben Hosford 3.0% 2.5% 3.3% 4.1% 3.6% 3.8% 5.5% 5.1% 5.7% 6.9% 8.3% 10.0% 15.0% 23.4%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.7% 5.3% 5.3% 6.6% 6.3% 7.0% 7.2% 7.3% 8.1% 8.8% 8.2% 8.9% 9.0% 7.1%
Patrick Dolan 10.2% 10.7% 9.9% 9.7% 9.5% 8.6% 8.2% 6.7% 7.4% 6.2% 5.6% 4.0% 2.2% 1.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.