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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+6.16vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.98+8.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.31vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.24+4.65vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.02vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.21+2.85vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.55+3.27vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.69-2.06vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.64-2.56vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.63+0.20vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.92-1.67vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-1.94vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.36-9.40vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.93-5.09vs Predicted
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16Michigan State University1.36-0.96vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.46-5.21vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.19-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.0Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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6.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.85Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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6.59Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.94Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.44College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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11.2SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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10.33Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
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4.6Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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9.91University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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15.04Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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11.79Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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16.86Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Michael Grove | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Zach Runci | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Robert Boger | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.8% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 36.0% | 18.6% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 2.7% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 13.6% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.