Race 6B

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Patrick Dolan 9.8% 10.1% 9.7% 10.1% 9.7% 9.2% 9.0% 7.2% 6.6% 6.0% 4.8% 3.9% 2.8% 1.1%
Patrick Modin 4.0% 3.9% 4.7% 4.3% 4.6% 6.8% 6.2% 7.0% 7.6% 7.9% 8.6% 9.2% 11.6% 13.6%
Ben Mueller 20.0% 16.6% 13.7% 12.2% 10.7% 8.2% 6.6% 4.7% 3.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Robert Ziman 3.8% 3.8% 5.8% 4.5% 5.8% 5.2% 5.9% 7.5% 7.5% 7.6% 8.2% 11.2% 11.5% 11.6%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.3% 6.0% 5.8% 5.7% 6.9% 6.3% 7.3% 6.5% 8.6% 7.6% 7.8% 9.3% 9.8% 7.0%
Ryan Potter 3.4% 4.7% 4.2% 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 6.2% 7.0% 7.0% 8.9% 9.6% 9.7% 10.8% 14.4%
Eva Ermlich 6.8% 8.0% 8.3% 8.1% 7.8% 7.0% 8.2% 6.8% 8.9% 7.8% 7.8% 6.6% 5.6% 2.5%
Luke Zylinski 8.1% 8.5% 7.5% 8.1% 7.7% 9.8% 8.6% 8.6% 7.5% 7.5% 6.5% 5.4% 4.2% 2.0%
George Higham 6.7% 6.6% 8.1% 6.8% 7.6% 8.8% 7.7% 8.0% 7.6% 8.2% 7.2% 7.0% 5.8% 4.0%
Tiare Sierra 6.6% 6.3% 6.7% 7.1% 7.6% 7.8% 6.5% 7.5% 8.5% 8.6% 8.9% 6.3% 6.9% 4.8%
Benjamin Honig 10.6% 10.5% 8.7% 11.2% 9.7% 8.3% 8.6% 9.2% 6.7% 5.5% 5.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
Everett Botwinick 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 8.0% 7.3% 8.0% 8.0% 7.2% 7.3% 7.8% 7.6% 6.9% 5.3% 3.3%
Lily Flack 4.4% 5.0% 4.5% 6.3% 5.7% 5.1% 6.2% 7.1% 6.3% 7.1% 9.3% 10.3% 10.2% 12.2%
Ben Hosford 3.5% 2.4% 3.9% 3.7% 4.3% 4.0% 5.0% 5.8% 6.4% 7.4% 7.3% 10.2% 13.4% 22.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.