← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.58+6.08vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.22+2.15vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.58+3.07vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.14+3.63vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.22+2.02vs Predicted
-
6Webb Institute1.30+0.72vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.31vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+0.98vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.62-3.01vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University0.97-2.00vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.00vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy0.94-3.31vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.72-4.04vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.08Roger Williams University1.587.3%1st Place
-
4.15Tufts University2.2217.4%1st Place
-
6.07University of Pennsylvania1.5810.3%1st Place
-
7.63Boston University1.146.3%1st Place
-
7.02Northeastern University1.226.5%1st Place
-
6.72Webb Institute1.308.3%1st Place
-
6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.739.1%1st Place
-
8.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.5%1st Place
-
5.99Fordham University1.629.9%1st Place
-
8.0Cornell University0.975.9%1st Place
-
10.0SUNY Maritime College0.412.9%1st Place
-
8.69U. S. Naval Academy0.944.2%1st Place
-
8.96University of Vermont0.724.3%1st Place
-
9.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.483.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
George Higham | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
Ben Mueller | 17.4% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Cole Woodworth | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Tiare Sierra | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
Eva Ermlich | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
Everett Botwinick | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
Luke Zylinski | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
Lily Flack | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.7% |
Patrick Dolan | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Lucija Ruzevic | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% |
Ben Hosford | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 23.2% |
Robert Ziman | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.9% |
Ryan Potter | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% |
Patrick Modin | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.