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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Cole Woodworth 9.5% 8.1% 10.3% 9.0% 9.1% 10.3% 8.2% 7.8% 7.8% 5.1% 5.7% 4.9% 2.6% 1.5%
Patrick Dolan 10.9% 9.6% 9.6% 9.6% 9.8% 9.3% 7.9% 7.3% 7.0% 6.5% 5.0% 3.7% 2.6% 1.1%
Robert Ziman 3.5% 4.2% 4.8% 5.3% 5.5% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 7.6% 7.5% 9.0% 10.9% 11.2% 11.4%
Ben Mueller 20.0% 17.6% 14.8% 11.5% 10.4% 8.8% 5.0% 4.7% 2.9% 2.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
George Higham 6.8% 6.8% 6.9% 7.2% 7.6% 8.3% 9.2% 7.8% 8.0% 7.5% 7.5% 5.9% 5.9% 4.3%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.3% 6.8% 5.1% 5.6% 6.7% 6.5% 7.7% 7.5% 7.7% 8.9% 8.5% 8.8% 7.8% 8.1%
Everett Botwinick 8.3% 7.6% 7.6% 7.5% 8.5% 7.9% 7.0% 7.8% 8.7% 8.1% 7.1% 5.5% 5.0% 3.2%
Patrick Modin 3.5% 4.0% 5.0% 5.2% 4.6% 6.8% 6.8% 7.4% 7.6% 7.8% 8.0% 8.9% 11.2% 13.2%
Lily Flack 4.1% 4.2% 4.2% 4.7% 5.9% 5.7% 6.3% 6.6% 7.0% 8.6% 9.0% 10.4% 11.4% 11.8%
Ben Hosford 3.4% 3.4% 3.8% 4.9% 3.2% 3.2% 4.8% 5.7% 6.6% 7.0% 8.8% 9.3% 13.1% 22.9%
Tiare Sierra 6.0% 7.3% 7.0% 7.3% 7.0% 6.9% 8.3% 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 8.3% 8.0% 6.8% 4.0%
Eva Ermlich 6.8% 7.5% 7.8% 8.0% 8.2% 7.2% 8.8% 8.6% 8.0% 7.4% 7.1% 6.6% 4.8% 3.3%
Ryan Potter 4.2% 4.5% 4.5% 5.9% 4.8% 5.7% 5.5% 6.6% 6.2% 7.8% 8.8% 10.4% 12.6% 12.6%
Luke Zylinski 8.6% 8.3% 8.8% 8.3% 8.5% 7.4% 8.6% 8.0% 7.2% 6.9% 6.2% 5.9% 4.7% 2.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.