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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.58+5.18vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.62+3.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.94+5.88vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22-0.04vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.58+2.25vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.97+2.14vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.30-0.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+0.89vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-0.09vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.41-0.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-3.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.22-4.97vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.72-4.04vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18University of Pennsylvania1.589.5%1st Place
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5.93Fordham University1.6210.9%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Naval Academy0.943.5%1st Place
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3.96Tufts University2.2220.0%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University1.586.8%1st Place
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8.14Cornell University0.974.3%1st Place
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6.92Webb Institute1.308.3%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.483.5%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland0.614.1%1st Place
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9.84SUNY Maritime College0.413.4%1st Place
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7.47Boston University1.146.0%1st Place
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7.03Northeastern University1.226.8%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont0.724.2%1st Place
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6.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.738.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cole Woodworth | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
Patrick Dolan | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Robert Ziman | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% |
Ben Mueller | 20.0% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
George Higham | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
Lucija Ruzevic | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
Everett Botwinick | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
Patrick Modin | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.2% |
Lily Flack | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.8% |
Ben Hosford | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 22.9% |
Tiare Sierra | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
Eva Ermlich | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
Ryan Potter | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% |
Luke Zylinski | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.