← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.64+6.50vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.80+4.85vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.93+7.31vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University4.36+0.78vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College2.63+6.10vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.69+1.05vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida3.24+1.87vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-2.16vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.70-2.00vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.55+1.65vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+0.50vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University3.21-2.75vs Predicted
-
13Washington College2.46-1.39vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University3.20-5.28vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.98-5.26vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.74vs Predicted
-
17Michigan State University1.36-1.90vs Predicted
-
18Hampton University0.19-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.5College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
-
6.85Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
10.31University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
-
4.78Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
-
11.1SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
-
7.05Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
8.87University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
-
5.84St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
7.0Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
-
11.65University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
-
11.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
-
9.25Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
-
11.61Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
-
8.72Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.74Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
-
7.26U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
15.1Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
-
16.86Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.4% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 2.2% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 11.6% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 1.7% |
| Robert Boger | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 2.8% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Grove | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 36.3% | 19.3% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 14.1% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.