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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.22+3.05vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+5.39vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.58+4.16vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+3.02vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.41+4.85vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+3.02vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.94+2.01vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.71-2.39vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.30-2.05vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.72-0.96vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.69-1.92vs Predicted
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12Cornell University0.97-4.00vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.62-6.94vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05Tufts University2.2218.2%1st Place
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7.39Boston University1.145.9%1st Place
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7.16Roger Williams University1.587.1%1st Place
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7.02Northeastern University1.227.1%1st Place
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9.85SUNY Maritime College0.413.2%1st Place
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9.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.614.0%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy0.943.5%1st Place
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5.61University of Pennsylvania1.7110.9%1st Place
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6.95Webb Institute1.308.5%1st Place
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9.04University of Vermont0.724.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.694.3%1st Place
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8.0Cornell University0.974.7%1st Place
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6.06Fordham University1.6210.4%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.738.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ben Mueller | 18.2% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Tiare Sierra | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
George Higham | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
Eva Ermlich | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
Ben Hosford | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 21.1% |
Lily Flack | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.9% |
Robert Ziman | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% |
Benjamin Honig | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Everett Botwinick | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
Ryan Potter | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.0% |
David Pearce | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 13.9% |
Lucija Ruzevic | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% |
Patrick Dolan | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
Luke Zylinski | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.