Race 10B

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
George Higham 7.3% 7.3% 6.2% 7.4% 7.4% 8.1% 7.2% 8.5% 7.8% 8.6% 8.3% 6.7% 4.8% 4.2%
Robert Ziman 4.2% 5.1% 5.1% 5.0% 5.8% 6.0% 5.7% 6.8% 6.7% 8.2% 9.2% 8.9% 11.7% 11.9%
Luke Zylinski 8.5% 8.0% 7.4% 8.1% 8.7% 8.0% 9.0% 8.8% 7.2% 7.6% 6.9% 5.3% 4.2% 2.5%
Eva Ermlich 7.0% 7.8% 7.8% 8.1% 8.0% 7.7% 9.3% 8.6% 7.7% 6.3% 6.9% 5.7% 5.3% 3.9%
Ben Mueller 20.5% 15.3% 14.4% 11.7% 9.4% 9.0% 6.3% 5.0% 3.5% 2.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Everett Botwinick 7.1% 7.1% 8.0% 8.6% 8.8% 8.0% 7.6% 8.1% 8.2% 8.5% 7.0% 5.7% 5.0% 2.6%
Benjamin Honig 11.7% 10.8% 12.0% 8.9% 10.1% 8.8% 8.3% 7.0% 6.5% 5.1% 4.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.9%
Lily Flack 3.6% 4.8% 4.2% 5.4% 5.1% 5.9% 6.1% 6.9% 6.2% 7.8% 9.5% 10.5% 11.5% 12.4%
Patrick Dolan 10.1% 11.1% 9.3% 10.7% 8.6% 9.0% 8.3% 6.9% 8.2% 6.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.9% 0.8%
Tiare Sierra 6.3% 7.0% 7.3% 7.1% 7.4% 6.6% 7.0% 8.2% 9.7% 8.7% 8.5% 7.0% 6.3% 2.9%
Lucija Ruzevic 4.0% 5.5% 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 8.3% 8.1% 7.8% 7.8% 7.5% 8.6% 9.1% 8.1% 7.9%
Ryan Potter 3.5% 4.0% 4.3% 4.8% 5.5% 4.8% 6.6% 6.8% 7.3% 7.8% 8.0% 10.8% 12.9% 13.1%
Ben Hosford 3.0% 3.1% 3.9% 3.2% 4.2% 4.2% 4.8% 4.4% 5.5% 8.1% 8.3% 11.8% 12.3% 23.2%
David Pearce 3.2% 3.2% 5.2% 4.9% 4.6% 5.7% 5.7% 6.7% 7.8% 7.3% 8.3% 10.8% 13.0% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.