Race 11B

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ryan Potter 4.0% 4.2% 4.4% 3.7% 5.1% 5.0% 5.8% 7.0% 7.2% 7.5% 9.9% 10.8% 11.8% 13.7%
George Higham 7.0% 7.5% 6.5% 7.8% 8.3% 8.7% 7.7% 8.3% 8.5% 7.2% 7.1% 6.9% 5.0% 3.4%
Eva Ermlich 7.4% 8.1% 7.4% 8.3% 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 8.1% 7.3% 8.1% 7.5% 6.3% 4.8% 3.5%
Ben Mueller 18.1% 17.1% 15.4% 14.4% 9.2% 7.3% 5.7% 5.1% 3.4% 2.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.7% 5.9% 5.7% 6.5% 5.0% 7.0% 6.7% 7.3% 6.9% 9.7% 9.8% 8.5% 8.9% 6.4%
Patrick Dolan 11.5% 9.6% 10.2% 10.1% 9.3% 9.1% 8.8% 7.5% 5.9% 6.8% 4.5% 3.8% 2.2% 0.7%
Tiare Sierra 6.8% 5.9% 6.8% 6.2% 7.7% 8.2% 8.2% 8.3% 9.3% 7.3% 8.0% 7.1% 6.5% 3.5%
Luke Zylinski 7.4% 8.8% 8.5% 8.4% 9.4% 8.4% 8.6% 8.0% 6.8% 7.8% 5.3% 6.2% 4.2% 2.2%
Ben Hosford 3.5% 3.1% 3.1% 3.3% 4.9% 4.8% 4.2% 5.8% 6.1% 7.0% 8.5% 7.7% 14.8% 23.2%
David Pearce 4.8% 3.5% 4.1% 4.5% 5.3% 4.9% 6.1% 6.2% 7.2% 6.8% 8.5% 10.2% 12.7% 15.2%
Lily Flack 3.5% 4.2% 4.5% 4.5% 5.0% 5.6% 7.3% 6.0% 7.8% 8.0% 8.6% 10.3% 11.3% 13.3%
Everett Botwinick 7.6% 8.3% 9.0% 7.5% 8.2% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 8.1% 7.2% 7.0% 6.8% 4.2% 2.6%
Robert Ziman 3.8% 4.5% 4.8% 5.8% 5.6% 6.4% 6.6% 6.0% 8.1% 8.0% 8.5% 11.0% 11.0% 10.1%
Cole Woodworth 8.8% 9.3% 9.7% 9.2% 9.6% 9.0% 8.5% 8.2% 7.3% 6.6% 5.6% 3.8% 2.5% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.