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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.70+6.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+4.87vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.33vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+0.81vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.69+2.09vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.55+5.54vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.14vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.20+0.89vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.21-0.12vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.93+0.19vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-3.62vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.24-2.82vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.63-1.98vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.98-4.48vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-3.65vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.46-4.17vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University1.36-1.89vs Predicted
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18Hampton University0.19-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.87Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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4.81Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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7.09Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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5.86St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.89Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.88Tufts University3.210.0%1st Place
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10.19University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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7.38College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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9.18University of South Florida3.240.1%1st Place
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11.02SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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9.52Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
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11.83Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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15.11Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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16.87Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Screve | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 2.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| David Liebenberg | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Hecht | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| Mac Mace | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 1.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Robert Boger | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 3.0% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 36.1% | 19.3% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 13.6% | 70.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.