Race 12B

owen

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Robert Ziman 5.3% 4.5% 6.0% 5.4% 5.7% 5.0% 5.7% 5.8% 6.9% 8.3% 9.2% 10.2% 10.9% 11.2%
Patrick Dolan 10.8% 9.7% 10.5% 8.9% 9.0% 8.5% 8.2% 8.2% 7.9% 5.6% 5.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.1%
Ben Mueller 18.2% 17.8% 14.1% 12.1% 9.8% 8.7% 6.8% 3.8% 3.8% 2.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.2%
Luke Zylinski 8.3% 8.5% 8.2% 8.8% 8.2% 8.3% 7.8% 7.8% 7.7% 7.6% 5.9% 6.3% 4.5% 2.1%
Ryan Potter 3.5% 4.0% 4.9% 4.5% 5.1% 4.8% 6.6% 7.0% 7.0% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 13.1% 12.0%
Tiare Sierra 6.0% 6.6% 6.9% 8.0% 7.8% 8.3% 7.0% 7.8% 8.0% 9.7% 6.9% 6.9% 6.6% 3.6%
David Pearce 3.6% 3.3% 4.1% 4.3% 5.0% 5.2% 5.5% 7.7% 7.6% 6.8% 9.1% 10.8% 12.3% 14.6%
Cole Woodworth 9.7% 10.0% 9.8% 9.0% 9.8% 8.7% 8.9% 8.1% 7.4% 6.0% 5.2% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4%
Lily Flack 4.0% 4.4% 4.5% 5.0% 5.3% 5.9% 5.9% 6.8% 5.9% 7.3% 9.7% 10.4% 10.8% 14.1%
Everett Botwinick 8.4% 8.2% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 9.0% 8.7% 7.5% 7.1% 6.8% 7.3% 6.2% 5.1% 3.1%
Eva Ermlich 7.4% 6.9% 7.7% 8.2% 9.2% 9.1% 8.1% 7.7% 7.1% 7.6% 5.7% 7.0% 5.3% 3.1%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.4% 5.9% 5.5% 6.9% 5.3% 6.1% 7.6% 8.5% 7.9% 8.0% 9.6% 8.5% 8.3% 6.8%
Ben Hosford 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% 3.6% 4.9% 4.6% 4.9% 5.3% 7.0% 7.0% 8.4% 9.2% 12.7% 23.2%
George Higham 6.2% 7.4% 7.6% 8.0% 7.1% 7.8% 8.4% 8.1% 8.5% 8.2% 7.4% 6.6% 5.1% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.