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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.40vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.98+8.10vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.70+4.23vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+7.31vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+1.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.69+1.11vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-2.18vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.63+3.11vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.24-0.22vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.21-0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.93-0.84vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.83vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-4.17vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.46-2.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-3.60vs Predicted
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16Michigan State University1.36-0.93vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.19-0.01vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.64-10.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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7.23Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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6.71Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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4.82Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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11.11SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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8.78University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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6.17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.83Old Dominion University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.48Washington College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
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15.07Michigan State University1.360.0%1st Place
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16.99Hampton University0.190.0%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 1.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.5% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.3% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Hecht | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Bedinger | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% |
| Robert Boger | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Bill Weiland | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 35.8% | 19.0% |
| Joshua Gopeesingh | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 13.7% | 70.5% |
| Mac Mace | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.