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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas1.41+4.17vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10-0.54vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University2.37+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.20+2.95vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.54+1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.25+1.93vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University1.25-2.60vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.31-3.71vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-0.15-1.42vs Predicted
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11Denison University-1.36-0.26vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.56-4.84vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University0.69-6.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17University of Saint Thomas1.410.0%1st Place
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1.46University of Wisconsin4.100.7%1st Place
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3.3Northwestern University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
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8.93University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.4Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
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10.74Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.16Marquette University0.560.0%1st Place
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6.86Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Wilson | 3.8% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 66.2% | 24.3% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 12.1% | 25.0% | 24.1% | 17.5% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Lund | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 7.1% |
| Megan Dawson | 1.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| John O'Brien | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 23.0% | 14.6% |
| Charlie Trost | 4.1% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sammy Barbour | 4.7% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Miles Lubin | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 20.5% | 9.5% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 59.3% |
| Steven Catlin | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Anthony Julian | 2.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.