← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University1.33+4.88vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.71+3.34vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.31+3.14vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.86+3.68vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+4.10vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University1.64-1.00vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.42+2.52vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-3.07vs Predicted
-
9San Diego State University1.47-2.98vs Predicted
-
10California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-1.86vs Predicted
-
11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22-1.22vs Predicted
-
12University of Washington-2.55-4.78vs Predicted
-
13University of Oregon0.11-2.31vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-0.39-1.44vs Predicted
-
15Santa Clara University-1.38-1.37vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.88Western Washington University1.3310.5%1st Place
-
5.34University of Southern California1.7113.0%1st Place
-
6.14University of Hawaii1.317.3%1st Place
-
7.68University of California at Berkeley0.865.2%1st Place
-
9.1University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.4%1st Place
-
5.0Stanford University1.6414.4%1st Place
-
9.52University of California at San Diego0.423.1%1st Place
-
4.93University of California at Santa Barbara1.7814.1%1st Place
-
6.02San Diego State University1.479.4%1st Place
-
8.14California Poly Maritime Academy0.535.0%1st Place
-
9.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.223.4%1st Place
-
7.22University of Washington-2.556.3%1st Place
-
10.69University of Oregon0.113.0%1st Place
-
12.56Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
-
13.63Santa Clara University-1.380.4%1st Place
-
14.36California State University Channel Islands-1.540.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Turloff | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Whidden | 14.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 14.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Parker Ziegler | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Maxwell Miller | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 22.6% | 13.7% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 27.6% | 30.5% |
| Brent Lin | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 11.3% | 20.7% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.