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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.62+4.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.94+6.74vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.71+2.67vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.97+4.19vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+2.44vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.58+1.14vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.30-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.72+0.93vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.22-4.90vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.08vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-4.00vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.87vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.69-3.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Fordham University1.6210.2%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy0.944.3%1st Place
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5.67University of Pennsylvania1.7111.9%1st Place
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8.19Cornell University0.975.7%1st Place
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7.44Boston University1.146.7%1st Place
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7.14Roger Williams University1.586.1%1st Place
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6.81Webb Institute1.308.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Vermont0.723.5%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University2.2219.3%1st Place
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10.08SUNY Maritime College0.412.6%1st Place
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7.0Northeastern University1.227.3%1st Place
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9.13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.8%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.693.2%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Dolan | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
Robert Ziman | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% |
Benjamin Honig | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
Lucija Ruzevic | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% |
Tiare Sierra | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
George Higham | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% |
Everett Botwinick | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
Ryan Potter | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% |
Ben Mueller | 19.3% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Ben Hosford | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 23.6% |
Eva Ermlich | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 14.0% |
David Pearce | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% |
Luke Zylinski | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.