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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Eva Ermlich 8.0% 7.1% 7.2% 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 8.0% 7.8% 8.8% 8.1% 7.2% 6.8% 4.9% 3.0%
Ben Mueller 19.0% 16.1% 16.2% 12.3% 10.1% 7.1% 5.9% 4.5% 3.9% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Everett Botwinick 8.3% 7.3% 7.2% 9.0% 9.4% 8.0% 7.2% 8.7% 7.3% 7.3% 7.1% 6.1% 4.5% 2.5%
David Pearce 2.9% 3.3% 4.8% 5.2% 3.6% 5.9% 6.7% 7.0% 7.5% 8.2% 9.3% 8.8% 12.8% 13.8%
Robert Ziman 3.7% 4.9% 4.8% 5.2% 4.9% 6.4% 6.8% 7.2% 6.5% 9.5% 8.2% 8.9% 11.8% 11.2%
Benjamin Honig 11.1% 11.2% 10.7% 9.3% 9.8% 8.2% 8.9% 8.8% 6.5% 5.5% 4.6% 3.0% 1.8% 0.6%
Ryan Potter 3.9% 4.4% 3.6% 4.5% 3.9% 5.8% 6.9% 6.3% 6.9% 7.3% 8.2% 10.3% 12.2% 15.9%
Lucija Ruzevic 5.5% 5.0% 5.6% 5.8% 5.8% 7.4% 7.5% 7.0% 8.5% 9.2% 8.8% 8.2% 9.2% 6.5%
George Higham 6.5% 7.4% 7.8% 7.5% 8.6% 7.6% 8.0% 7.1% 6.8% 7.8% 7.9% 7.6% 6.0% 3.2%
Tiare Sierra 6.5% 7.5% 7.0% 6.5% 7.8% 7.5% 8.1% 7.2% 8.6% 7.5% 7.3% 8.2% 5.6% 4.6%
Patrick Dolan 9.7% 10.2% 10.4% 9.8% 9.1% 8.7% 8.2% 8.3% 7.9% 5.7% 5.8% 2.9% 2.3% 1.1%
Ben Hosford 2.4% 3.8% 3.5% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 4.0% 5.3% 6.3% 6.8% 8.5% 10.2% 13.5% 21.9%
Luke Zylinski 8.8% 8.1% 7.5% 8.9% 8.5% 8.6% 8.3% 8.6% 7.0% 6.8% 6.2% 6.3% 3.7% 2.8%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.9% 3.8% 3.8% 4.8% 6.1% 5.4% 5.5% 5.8% 7.4% 7.8% 9.5% 11.9% 11.5% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.