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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+6.05vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+2.07vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.30+3.79vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.69+5.19vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy0.94+3.79vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.71-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.72+2.25vs Predicted
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8Cornell University0.97+0.12vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.58-1.82vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-2.64vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.62-5.07vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.41-2.15vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-6.34vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Northeastern University1.228.0%1st Place
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4.07Tufts University2.2219.0%1st Place
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6.79Webb Institute1.308.3%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.692.9%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy0.943.7%1st Place
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5.66University of Pennsylvania1.7111.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Vermont0.723.9%1st Place
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8.12Cornell University0.975.5%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University1.586.5%1st Place
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7.36Boston University1.146.5%1st Place
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5.93Fordham University1.629.7%1st Place
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9.85SUNY Maritime College0.412.4%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.738.8%1st Place
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9.11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.673.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
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Eva Ermlich | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
Ben Mueller | 19.0% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Everett Botwinick | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
David Pearce | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 13.8% |
Robert Ziman | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% |
Benjamin Honig | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
Ryan Potter | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.9% |
Lucija Ruzevic | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
George Higham | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
Tiare Sierra | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
Patrick Dolan | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
Ben Hosford | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 21.9% |
Luke Zylinski | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.