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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University-1.29+3.09vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-1.34+2.13vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.36-0.24vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.44-1.24vs Predicted
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5Miami University-1.08-1.13vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.83-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09Indiana University-1.299.4%1st Place
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4.13University of Notre Dame-1.3410.8%1st Place
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2.76Washington University-0.3625.1%1st Place
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2.76Michigan State University-0.4425.6%1st Place
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3.87Miami University-1.0811.8%1st Place
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3.4Purdue University-0.8317.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Kem | 9.4% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 27.1% |
| Emma Herring | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 21.9% | 28.9% |
| Sarah Biedron | 25.1% | 22.7% | 21.5% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Dodge | 25.6% | 23.5% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.4% |
| Griffin Boothby | 11.8% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 21.9% |
| Nalin Sinha | 17.3% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.