← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Michigan State University-0.44+1.84vs Predicted
-
2Washington University-0.36+0.72vs Predicted
-
3Indiana University-1.29+1.08vs Predicted
-
4Miami University-1.08-0.14vs Predicted
-
5University of Notre Dame-1.34-0.85vs Predicted
-
6Purdue University-0.83-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.84Michigan State University-0.4423.8%1st Place
-
2.72Washington University-0.3627.6%1st Place
-
4.08Indiana University-1.2910.7%1st Place
-
3.86Miami University-1.0811.2%1st Place
-
4.15University of Notre Dame-1.349.7%1st Place
-
3.36Purdue University-0.8317.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Dodge | 23.8% | 23.2% | 20.8% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Biedron | 27.6% | 22.8% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Brandon Kem | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 22.9% | 26.3% |
| Griffin Boothby | 11.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 19.9% |
| Emma Herring | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 30.2% |
| Nalin Sinha | 17.1% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.