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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-1.34+3.14vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-0.44+0.76vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.36-0.26vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.83-0.53vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.29-0.96vs Predicted
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6Miami University-1.08-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of Notre Dame-1.349.6%1st Place
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2.76Michigan State University-0.4426.6%1st Place
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2.74Washington University-0.3626.5%1st Place
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3.47Purdue University-0.8315.6%1st Place
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4.04Indiana University-1.2910.2%1st Place
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3.86Miami University-1.0811.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Herring | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 28.3% |
| Ryan Dodge | 26.6% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Sarah Biedron | 26.5% | 22.7% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| Nalin Sinha | 15.6% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 13.2% |
| Brandon Kem | 10.2% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 28.1% |
| Griffin Boothby | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.