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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+4.57vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.76+1.38vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.03+5.42vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.27+3.75vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19-0.23vs Predicted
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6Washington College2.84+3.26vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64-0.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37-0.81vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-1.55vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-3.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.28vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.59vs Predicted
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13Michigan State University0.66+1.49vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.53-3.76vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.24-1.69vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-2.22vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-1.85-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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3.38College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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8.42Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.26Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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6.56Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.19Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.9University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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8.41SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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14.49Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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13.78Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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16.8Hampton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 24.0% | 20.8% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 9.7% | 23.6% | 42.4% | 6.9% |
| Wheeler Morris | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Matt Jaykus | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 18.9% | 26.0% | 20.5% | 1.6% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 26.9% | 26.3% | 1.5% |
| Stefano Nardini | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 89.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.