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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+4.50vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston4.76+1.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.37+4.26vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+4.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99+3.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+0.56vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.27-0.56vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49-1.92vs Predicted
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10Stanford University4.19-5.22vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.24+2.36vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.03-3.59vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.84-3.79vs Predicted
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14Michigan State University0.66+0.51vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-1.41vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota2.53-5.90vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-1.85-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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3.31College of Charleston4.760.3%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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8.37SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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6.56Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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7.08University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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4.78Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.36University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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8.41Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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9.21Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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14.51Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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13.59Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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16.79Hampton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 25.6% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 13.3% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Jaykus | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 28.8% | 20.1% | 2.3% |
| Collin Leon | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 11.8% | 22.4% | 43.1% | 5.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 24.9% | 26.2% | 2.1% |
| Wheeler Morris | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Nardini | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 90.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.