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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+4.19vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+4.82vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+1.47vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.99+4.30vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+2.94vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.37+1.14vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.64-0.89vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.11vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.27-2.77vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.84-2.09vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.03-3.94vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.53-3.03vs Predicted
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14Michigan State University0.66+0.46vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.24-1.76vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-2.33vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-1.85-0.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.82Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.47Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.89SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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6.8University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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8.91Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.06Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.97University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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14.46Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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13.67Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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16.81Hampton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 14.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 17.4% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Wheeler Morris | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 21.6% | 43.3% | 5.6% |
| Matt Jaykus | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 26.7% | 20.9% | 1.5% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 26.5% | 25.4% | 2.1% |
| Stefano Nardini | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 90.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.