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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.01vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+4.98vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+1.71vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.76-0.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+0.93vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+1.28vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.03+0.09vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.27-1.31vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.53-0.17vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.37-3.68vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.84-3.11vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.99-4.47vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-0.31vs Predicted
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15Michigan State University0.66-0.61vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.24-2.60vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-1.85-0.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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6.98Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.71Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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3.32College of Charleston4.760.3%1st Place
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6.13Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.93University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.09Old Dominion University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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8.89Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Naval Academy2.990.0%1st Place
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13.69Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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14.39Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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16.82Hampton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 13.6% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 25.4% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wheeler Morris | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 16.1% | 27.2% | 27.0% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 21.9% | 42.8% | 5.1% |
| Matt Jaykus | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 19.0% | 26.5% | 20.8% | 1.4% |
| Stefano Nardini | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 91.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.