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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+3.79vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+5.32vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.05+5.51vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.76-0.47vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.84+4.06vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+1.26vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.89-1.25vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64-1.49vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.24+4.60vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.37-2.63vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.03-2.29vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.27-4.26vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.90-4.90vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-1.31vs Predicted
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16Michigan State University0.66-1.41vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-1.85-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Stanford University4.190.2%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.51SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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3.53College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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9.06Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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7.26University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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13.6University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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8.71Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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13.69Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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14.59Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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16.8Hampton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 17.3% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 23.5% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Jaykus | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 18.4% | 29.6% | 21.1% | 1.9% |
| William Hutchings | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 16.7% | 27.3% | 25.2% | 2.7% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 12.7% | 22.6% | 43.1% | 5.5% |
| Stefano Nardini | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 6.5% | 89.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.