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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+0.45vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.20+5.65vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas1.41+1.95vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University2.37-0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.54+0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.25+1.68vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University1.25-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.15-0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.31-4.96vs Predicted
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11Denison University-1.36-0.46vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University0.69-5.36vs Predicted
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13Marquette University-0.60-3.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45University of Wisconsin4.100.7%1st Place
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7.65University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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4.95University of Saint Thomas1.410.1%1st Place
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3.22Northwestern University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.22Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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8.3University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
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5.04University of Michigan1.310.0%1st Place
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10.54Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.64Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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9.38Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 67.8% | 22.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Lund | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% |
| Brandon Wilson | 5.3% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 10.6% | 31.2% | 21.3% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Dawson | 1.8% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| John O'Brien | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 11.5% |
| Charlie Trost | 4.8% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Miles Lubin | 0.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 8.1% |
| Sammy Barbour | 3.8% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 52.1% |
| Anthony Julian | 2.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Philip Niles | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 23.7% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.