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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.64+4.08vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+6.28vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.71+2.19vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University1.47+1.88vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.31+1.14vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-2.55+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.42+1.45vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-0.39+3.64vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University-1.38+3.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.86-3.22vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.33-5.91vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon0.11-2.09vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-5.06vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22-5.24vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Stanford University1.6413.2%1st Place
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8.28California Poly Maritime Academy0.534.8%1st Place
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5.19University of Southern California1.7113.9%1st Place
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5.88San Diego State University1.4710.4%1st Place
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6.14University of Hawaii1.318.5%1st Place
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4.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.7814.8%1st Place
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7.24University of Washington-2.556.3%1st Place
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9.45University of California at San Diego0.423.2%1st Place
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12.64Arizona State University-0.390.9%1st Place
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13.53Santa Clara University-1.380.5%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Berkeley0.866.2%1st Place
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6.09Western Washington University1.338.5%1st Place
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10.91University of Oregon0.112.1%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.6%1st Place
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9.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.222.7%1st Place
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14.31California State University Channel Islands-1.540.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whidden | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 13.9% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Everett McAvoy | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 20.1% | 22.7% | 13.5% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 26.2% | 28.5% |
| Carsten Zieger | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Adam Turloff | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Avey | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 4.3% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Parker Ziegler | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Brent Lin | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 19.7% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.