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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+2.32vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+4.37vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.19+1.83vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+3.27vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+2.17vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+2.46vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.03+1.44vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.21vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49-1.95vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.90-1.26vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.84-1.90vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.89-6.32vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+0.67vs Predicted
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14Michigan State University0.66+0.48vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota2.53-4.98vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.24-2.60vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-1.85-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32College of Charleston4.760.3%1st Place
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6.37Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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4.83Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.27Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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8.46SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.44Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.05University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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9.1Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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5.68Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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13.67Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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14.48Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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10.02University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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13.4University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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16.8Hampton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 25.4% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 17.9% | 27.2% | 24.7% | 4.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 11.3% | 21.6% | 44.3% | 4.5% |
| Wheeler Morris | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Matt Jaykus | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 28.1% | 19.9% | 1.4% |
| Stefano Nardini | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 90.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.