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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+5.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.37+5.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.90+6.39vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.49+2.19vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.08vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.19-1.99vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.27-0.05vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.76-5.37vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota2.53+0.64vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.05-1.94vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.39-4.30vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.03-3.94vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+0.63vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.24-0.85vs Predicted
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16Michigan State University0.66-0.64vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.84-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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6.04Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.19University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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5.01Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.95University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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3.63College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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10.64University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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9.06SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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14.63Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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15.36Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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9.73Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 9.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kieran Chung | 13.2% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 21.8% | 18.8% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wheeler Morris | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Nick Valente | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Greg Martinez | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Collin Leon | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 15.7% | 27.5% | 29.1% |
| Matt Jaykus | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 28.2% | 20.6% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 22.8% | 46.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.