← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Miami1.24+12.04vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston4.76+1.15vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.13vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.39+3.01vs Predicted
-
5Washington College2.84+3.70vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.37+1.21vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.89-1.59vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University3.03+0.06vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.64-2.68vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida3.49-3.43vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.90-2.19vs Predicted
-
12Michigan State University0.66+2.42vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College3.05-4.72vs Predicted
-
14University of Minnesota2.53-4.01vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont3.27-7.58vs Predicted
-
16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10-2.33vs Predicted
-
17Hampton University-1.85-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
13.04University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
-
3.15College of Charleston4.760.3%1st Place
-
8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.01Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.7Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
-
7.21Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
5.41Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
8.06Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
-
6.32Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
6.57University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.81U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
14.42Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
-
8.28SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.99University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
-
7.42University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
-
13.67Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
-
16.8Hampton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Jaykus | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 25.7% | 20.8% | 1.2% |
| Juan Maegli | 27.8% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 10.7% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 21.0% | 41.8% | 6.3% |
| Nick Valente | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Wheeler Morris | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 15.8% | 27.2% | 26.0% | 1.9% |
| Stefano Nardini | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 5.8% | 90.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.