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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+2.75vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University-1.38+1.71vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.44+1.81vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.54-0.01vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.26-0.48vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.77-1.23vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.37+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.18+0.83vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.54+0.50vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-1.47vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.10-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75College of Charleston1.4518.5%1st Place
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3.71Jacksonville University-1.3818.2%1st Place
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4.81University of South Florida1.4411.2%1st Place
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3.99University of South Florida1.5415.6%1st Place
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4.52North Carolina State University1.2611.8%1st Place
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4.77Florida State University0.7711.2%1st Place
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7.44University of Miami-0.373.4%1st Place
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8.83University of Georgia-1.181.4%1st Place
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9.5Embry-Riddle University-1.540.9%1st Place
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8.53Georgia Institute of Technology-0.942.4%1st Place
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6.15Rollins College0.105.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 18.5% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 18.2% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 15.6% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 11.8% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 6.5% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 26.0% | 24.8% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 21.9% | 45.9% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 24.6% | 20.8% |
| Carly Orhan | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.