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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+2.38vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+6.35vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+2.77vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.47vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+2.22vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.24+6.37vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37-0.77vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.90+0.13vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-3.10vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+2.75vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.64-5.45vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.03-4.35vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota2.53-3.78vs Predicted
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15Michigan State University0.66-0.55vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.27-8.23vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-1.85-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38College of Charleston4.760.3%1st Place
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8.35SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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5.77Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.99Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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13.37University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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6.9University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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13.75Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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6.55Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.65Old Dominion University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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14.45Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Vermont3.270.0%1st Place
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16.79Hampton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 26.0% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Jaykus | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 16.7% | 30.4% | 19.5% | 2.2% |
| William Hutchings | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 16.6% | 25.1% | 29.1% | 2.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Leon | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Wheeler Morris | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 11.0% | 23.1% | 42.0% | 5.3% |
| Michael Booker | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Nardini | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 89.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.