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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.45+2.69vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.26+2.36vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+0.77vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.54-0.03vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.44-0.30vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.77-1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.37+0.56vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.18-0.25vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.10-3.85vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.54-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69College of Charleston1.4518.1%1st Place
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4.36North Carolina State University1.2613.2%1st Place
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3.77Jacksonville University-1.3816.6%1st Place
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3.97University of South Florida1.5416.9%1st Place
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4.7University of South Florida1.4411.8%1st Place
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4.84Florida State University0.7711.6%1st Place
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7.56University of Miami-0.372.1%1st Place
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8.64Georgia Institute of Technology-0.941.6%1st Place
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8.75University of Georgia-1.181.5%1st Place
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6.15Rollins College0.105.9%1st Place
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9.57Embry-Riddle University-1.540.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 18.1% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 16.6% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 16.9% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Monahan | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 6.3% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 19.2% | 26.0% | 21.8% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 24.8% | 24.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 21.9% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.