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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.89+4.60vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+5.18vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.76+0.42vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.05+4.42vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19-0.23vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+1.06vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston1.10+6.59vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+0.24vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.37-1.47vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.64-3.56vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota2.53-0.86vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.27-4.34vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.84-3.78vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.24-0.51vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.90-6.10vs Predicted
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16Michigan State University0.66-1.47vs Predicted
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17Hampton University-1.85-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.18Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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3.42College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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8.42SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.06University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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13.59Texas A&M University at Galveston1.100.0%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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7.66University of Vermont3.270.1%1st Place
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9.22Washington College2.840.0%1st Place
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13.49University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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14.53Michigan State University0.660.0%1st Place
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16.8Hampton University-1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Cullman | 10.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 23.7% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 14.7% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Marohn | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 15.9% | 28.9% | 24.2% | 2.4% |
| John Wallace | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Hutchings | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wheeler Morris | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Booker | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Bailey | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Jaykus | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 16.3% | 27.1% | 23.8% | 1.8% |
| Philip Youngberg | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Dust | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 13.0% | 22.1% | 41.4% | 5.7% |
| Stefano Nardini | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 90.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.