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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.26+3.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.45+1.65vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+0.78vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.44+0.69vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.77-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54-2.08vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.10-0.73vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.18-0.08vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.54-0.45vs Predicted
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11University of Miami-0.37-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38North Carolina State University1.2612.7%1st Place
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3.65College of Charleston1.4518.9%1st Place
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3.78Jacksonville University-1.3817.8%1st Place
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4.69University of South Florida1.4411.4%1st Place
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4.82Florida State University0.7711.3%1st Place
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3.92University of South Florida1.5416.2%1st Place
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6.27Rollins College0.104.5%1st Place
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8.55Georgia Institute of Technology-0.941.8%1st Place
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8.92University of Georgia-1.181.3%1st Place
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9.55Embry-Riddle University-1.541.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Miami-0.372.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Sowa | 12.7% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Grace Squires | 18.9% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 11.4% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 16.2% | 15.6% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 20.2% | 25.1% | 19.8% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 17.8% | 27.5% | 25.3% |
| Kathleen Perry | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.9% | 13.5% | 21.5% | 46.1% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.