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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University0.77+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+2.03vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.10+3.22vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.26+0.54vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.60-1.39vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.45-2.20vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University-1.38-3.10vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.37-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.18-0.10vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-1.28vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.54-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Florida State University0.779.3%1st Place
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4.03University of South Florida1.5414.2%1st Place
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6.22Rollins College0.105.5%1st Place
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4.54North Carolina State University1.2612.2%1st Place
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3.61University of South Florida1.6019.7%1st Place
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3.8College of Charleston1.4517.1%1st Place
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3.9Jacksonville University-1.3816.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Miami-0.372.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Georgia-1.181.2%1st Place
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8.72Georgia Institute of Technology-0.941.7%1st Place
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9.64Embry-Riddle University-1.540.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Nelson | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 14.2% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carly Orhan | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 19.7% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 17.1% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 16.1% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 18.5% | 21.9% | 15.6% | 6.3% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 17.5% | 26.2% | 25.4% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 26.7% | 20.5% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 22.8% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.