Race 6A

saisa-women-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Eden Nykamp 15.7% 14.3% 14.0% 13.8% 12.3% 12.7% 9.8% 5.0% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Emily Allen 15.8% 16.6% 16.1% 13.7% 13.2% 10.6% 8.1% 4.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Kay Brunsvold 17.8% 17.1% 17.1% 13.5% 12.7% 10.2% 6.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Squires 18.0% 15.9% 14.1% 14.9% 13.0% 10.7% 7.3% 4.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Olivia Sowa 12.3% 12.6% 13.2% 14.7% 13.1% 12.0% 10.8% 7.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Katie Nelson 8.3% 9.8% 11.5% 12.7% 12.3% 14.8% 13.2% 10.8% 5.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Sandra Heilshorn 2.3% 3.5% 3.3% 3.7% 5.7% 7.7% 10.2% 19.4% 19.7% 17.2% 7.4%
Carly Orhan 5.9% 6.1% 6.1% 7.1% 9.3% 10.9% 16.4% 16.7% 13.9% 5.9% 1.7%
Sarah Weese 1.4% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 3.4% 5.9% 10.6% 19.6% 26.9% 24.7%
Kathleen Perry 0.4% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 4.0% 7.1% 13.7% 22.7% 44.2%
Lauren Mellinger 1.8% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 3.9% 4.7% 7.4% 11.1% 19.0% 24.1% 21.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.