Race 3A

north-fall-2-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Griffin Orr 9.8% 10.8% 11.6% 9.9% 11.4% 11.8% 8.9% 6.6% 6.7% 6.3% 3.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4%
Brendan O'Leary 17.3% 17.1% 15.1% 12.6% 11.6% 8.9% 6.1% 4.9% 2.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 24.8% 20.8% 15.3% 12.7% 10.0% 7.0% 4.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Fast 4.1% 5.0% 5.6% 6.7% 7.9% 7.5% 9.5% 8.7% 11.5% 9.3% 9.9% 8.1% 5.1% 1.1%
Emily Bicks 3.7% 5.1% 5.6% 6.2% 8.4% 6.9% 8.6% 8.5% 10.2% 10.8% 9.9% 9.0% 5.3% 1.8%
Benjaim Helfand 4.1% 4.1% 5.2% 6.7% 5.5% 7.3% 9.0% 10.0% 10.4% 10.2% 9.3% 10.9% 5.3% 2.0%
Maria Sinagra 11.4% 11.3% 12.1% 11.0% 11.8% 9.6% 9.2% 9.1% 6.4% 3.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Andrew Beckmann 3.1% 3.5% 4.2% 4.1% 5.2% 4.5% 7.6% 7.2% 8.5% 11.5% 10.3% 11.5% 13.4% 5.4%
Andrew Baransky 3.7% 2.1% 3.1% 2.7% 3.9% 4.6% 5.5% 7.3% 9.9% 11.2% 13.6% 13.7% 12.4% 6.3%
Conor Cashel 9.0% 9.9% 12.4% 13.3% 9.8% 11.9% 9.9% 9.5% 5.4% 3.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Andrew Murphy 3.1% 3.8% 2.3% 5.6% 4.8% 8.0% 8.6% 8.1% 8.7% 10.3% 12.6% 11.0% 9.3% 3.8%
Arielle Morgan 3.4% 5.0% 5.2% 5.5% 7.1% 8.1% 7.8% 11.3% 11.0% 10.0% 9.4% 7.5% 7.0% 1.7%
Daniel Christiani 1.8% 0.8% 1.9% 1.7% 1.4% 2.3% 2.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.0% 9.7% 13.0% 22.9% 28.1%
Rachel Kozicz 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.2% 2.1% 2.6% 5.1% 5.5% 10.4% 17.0% 49.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.