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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas1.41+4.04vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.20+5.65vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.25+5.59vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin4.10-2.55vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.54+1.88vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University2.37-2.75vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.31-2.86vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.15-0.70vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.69-3.61vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University1.25-5.72vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.60-2.59vs Predicted
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13Denison University-1.36-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04University of Saint Thomas1.410.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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8.59University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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1.45University of Wisconsin4.100.7%1st Place
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6.88University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
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3.25Northwestern University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Michigan1.310.1%1st Place
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8.3University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.39Ohio State University0.690.0%1st Place
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5.28Western Michigan University1.250.0%1st Place
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9.41Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.62Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Wilson | 4.0% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joe Lund | 1.2% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| John O'Brien | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 9.4% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 67.6% | 23.1% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Dawson | 1.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Michael Cornew | 11.4% | 27.6% | 24.1% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Barbour | 5.0% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Miles Lubin | 0.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 8.8% |
| Anthony Julian | 2.0% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Trost | 4.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Philip Niles | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 16.5% | 24.4% | 20.7% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.