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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.64+4.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+2.92vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.47+2.92vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.71+1.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.42+4.48vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-2.55+1.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.86+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon0.11+2.75vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University-1.38+4.69vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.39+2.48vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.86-2.11vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22-2.31vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.33-7.09vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.54+0.30vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-6.68vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.31-9.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Stanford University1.6412.5%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Santa Barbara1.7813.2%1st Place
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5.92San Diego State University1.4710.8%1st Place
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5.4University of Southern California1.7110.2%1st Place
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9.48University of California at San Diego0.423.3%1st Place
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7.21University of Washington-2.556.2%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Berkeley0.866.3%1st Place
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10.75University of Oregon0.112.5%1st Place
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13.69Santa Clara University-1.380.4%1st Place
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12.48Arizona State University-0.391.1%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.863.5%1st Place
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9.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.223.4%1st Place
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5.91Western Washington University1.3310.8%1st Place
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14.3California State University Channel Islands-1.540.8%1st Place
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8.32California Poly Maritime Academy0.535.3%1st Place
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6.22University of Hawaii1.319.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whidden | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 13.2% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 10.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Maxwell Miller | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Carsten Zieger | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Avey | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 3.6% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 27.8% | 28.5% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 18.4% | 22.7% | 14.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Parker Ziegler | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Adam Turloff | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brent Lin | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 21.3% | 49.9% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Everett McAvoy | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.