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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.60+2.67vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.54+2.06vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.26+1.55vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.77+1.10vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.45-1.11vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38-2.15vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.10-0.83vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.37-0.42vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-1.18-0.09vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.54-0.47vs Predicted
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11Georgia Institute of Technology-0.94-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of South Florida1.6019.6%1st Place
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4.06University of South Florida1.5413.8%1st Place
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4.55North Carolina State University1.2610.9%1st Place
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5.1Florida State University0.779.6%1st Place
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3.89College of Charleston1.4516.0%1st Place
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3.85Jacksonville University-1.3818.4%1st Place
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6.17Rollins College0.105.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Miami-0.372.9%1st Place
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8.91University of Georgia-1.181.6%1st Place
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9.53Embry-Riddle University-1.540.8%1st Place
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8.68Georgia Institute of Technology-0.941.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 19.6% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 13.8% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 10.9% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Squires | 16.0% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 18.4% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carly Orhan | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 19.4% | 20.8% | 15.5% | 6.6% |
| Sarah Weese | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 26.0% | 27.1% |
| Kathleen Perry | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 23.9% | 44.0% |
| Lauren Mellinger | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 11.3% | 22.2% | 24.3% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.