Race 1B

saisa-women-fleet-race-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Emma Tallman 35.4% 25.4% 18.2% 10.6% 6.7% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Isabella du Plessis 22.0% 20.8% 19.8% 15.8% 10.7% 5.9% 3.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 15.7% 18.9% 19.8% 16.7% 11.8% 10.2% 4.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Lily Schwartz 4.0% 5.5% 6.2% 9.7% 12.3% 13.4% 15.2% 16.0% 12.8% 4.5% 0.4%
Kaitlyn Liebel 6.7% 8.5% 11.2% 14.1% 15.3% 15.9% 12.3% 9.0% 5.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Niah Ford 4.4% 5.5% 8.0% 9.3% 12.6% 14.0% 14.6% 16.2% 10.8% 4.0% 0.7%
Danielle Ketner 3.2% 4.5% 5.1% 5.8% 8.2% 9.4% 13.9% 16.1% 21.0% 10.6% 2.2%
KA Hamner 5.0% 6.7% 6.9% 10.4% 12.1% 14.4% 16.3% 13.0% 11.1% 3.6% 0.5%
Kaitlyn Bagnoni 2.5% 3.2% 3.6% 6.1% 7.0% 10.4% 14.1% 18.6% 23.2% 9.6% 1.7%
Abigail Austin 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 1.2% 1.1% 1.9% 2.6% 5.2% 24.6% 61.7%
Emerson Bergan 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 5.9% 9.4% 41.8% 32.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.