Race 7A

north-fall-2-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Griffin Orr 10.9% 11.8% 11.1% 10.2% 10.2% 10.4% 9.1% 8.1% 6.2% 5.2% 3.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3%
Duncan Howes 16.7% 14.9% 13.1% 12.2% 11.7% 10.1% 7.8% 4.0% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Brendan O'Leary 19.1% 17.6% 15.0% 11.5% 10.9% 7.9% 7.3% 5.0% 3.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjaim Helfand 3.4% 5.0% 6.7% 6.2% 7.6% 7.9% 8.3% 8.4% 8.8% 10.2% 11.2% 8.5% 6.0% 1.8%
Maria Sinagra 9.0% 12.3% 11.8% 13.2% 10.4% 8.7% 10.3% 7.4% 6.7% 5.1% 2.6% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Conor Cashel 12.1% 11.1% 12.3% 11.1% 9.2% 10.8% 10.0% 7.1% 6.2% 4.2% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.5% 5.0% 5.3% 5.0% 5.7% 6.4% 6.8% 8.4% 8.8% 11.1% 9.9% 12.2% 8.4% 2.5%
Andrew Beckmann 4.0% 2.7% 4.1% 5.3% 5.8% 4.8% 5.4% 7.4% 8.2% 9.7% 11.8% 12.8% 11.8% 6.2%
Arielle Morgan 5.3% 3.9% 4.6% 6.3% 7.1% 7.3% 8.3% 10.6% 10.4% 9.7% 10.9% 8.0% 6.0% 1.6%
Emily Bicks 4.9% 4.8% 5.3% 6.7% 7.5% 7.0% 8.0% 11.1% 9.0% 10.5% 9.3% 9.0% 4.6% 2.3%
Daniel Christiani 0.7% 2.0% 0.8% 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 3.3% 5.4% 6.1% 8.2% 11.7% 25.0% 29.5%
Andrew Baransky 2.8% 2.9% 3.4% 3.1% 4.7% 6.0% 6.6% 6.8% 8.5% 10.3% 12.3% 14.2% 12.0% 6.4%
Nathan Fast 5.9% 5.3% 5.6% 6.7% 6.8% 8.4% 8.6% 10.0% 10.6% 9.2% 9.2% 7.9% 4.6% 1.2%
Rachel Kozicz 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.9% 1.4% 2.4% 3.0% 4.6% 5.9% 9.6% 18.7% 48.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.