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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+1.49vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College-0.17+4.09vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.09-0.50vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56+2.14vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.48-1.00vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.05-1.11vs Predicted
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8University of Miami-0.53-0.99vs Predicted
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9-0.06-3.06vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-2.28-0.47vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-2.83-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49College of Charleston1.8132.7%1st Place
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6.09Eckerd College-0.175.4%1st Place
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3.21North Carolina State University1.0921.1%1st Place
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3.5University of South Florida1.0916.6%1st Place
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7.14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.562.9%1st Place
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5.0Jacksonville University0.487.8%1st Place
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5.89Florida State University0.054.7%1st Place
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7.01University of Miami-0.533.3%1st Place
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5.94-0.064.7%1st Place
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9.53Embry-Riddle University-2.280.8%1st Place
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10.19University of Georgia-2.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 32.7% | 26.0% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 21.1% | 19.7% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.6% | 19.1% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 17.8% | 22.6% | 11.2% | 2.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Danielle Ketner | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 21.0% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| KA Hamner | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 39.1% | 34.1% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 25.3% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.