← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston1.81+1.48vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.09+1.66vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University0.82+1.41vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.09-0.79vs Predicted
-
5-0.06+0.91vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College-0.17+0.33vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University0.05-1.02vs Predicted
-
8University of Miami-0.53-1.02vs Predicted
-
9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-1.86vs Predicted
-
10University of Georgia-2.83+0.23vs Predicted
-
11Embry-Riddle University-2.28-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.48College of Charleston1.8132.4%1st Place
-
3.66University of South Florida1.0915.3%1st Place
-
4.41Jacksonville University0.8210.7%1st Place
-
3.21North Carolina State University1.0920.5%1st Place
-
5.91-0.065.0%1st Place
-
6.33Eckerd College-0.174.3%1st Place
-
5.98Florida State University0.055.1%1st Place
-
6.98University of Miami-0.533.8%1st Place
-
7.14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.562.3%1st Place
-
10.23University of Georgia-2.830.2%1st Place
-
9.68Embry-Riddle University-2.280.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 32.4% | 26.7% | 18.7% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 15.3% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 20.5% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| KA Hamner | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Niah Ford | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Ketner | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 22.1% | 9.3% | 1.6% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 22.2% | 11.6% | 2.1% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 25.1% | 61.0% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 42.0% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.