Race 8A

north-fall-2-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nathan Fast 5.0% 5.9% 6.4% 7.8% 7.6% 7.0% 9.0% 8.4% 9.1% 11.7% 8.2% 6.9% 5.6% 1.4%
Maria Sinagra 12.9% 12.0% 12.4% 10.4% 11.2% 10.1% 8.8% 8.5% 6.9% 2.4% 2.5% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Conor Cashel 12.6% 12.7% 12.1% 9.4% 10.7% 10.8% 9.2% 8.0% 5.3% 5.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Duncan Howes 14.2% 16.9% 11.4% 13.6% 11.1% 10.5% 6.2% 6.2% 4.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Arielle Morgan 3.5% 4.1% 6.6% 7.2% 6.3% 8.6% 8.1% 7.2% 10.0% 10.6% 10.6% 9.6% 5.7% 1.9%
Andrew Murphy 3.4% 4.2% 3.8% 4.8% 5.2% 6.7% 6.8% 9.3% 8.5% 10.5% 12.6% 12.0% 8.5% 3.7%
Emily Bicks 5.3% 6.1% 7.5% 5.4% 7.7% 7.0% 10.2% 8.8% 10.1% 9.7% 8.0% 8.5% 4.4% 1.3%
Brendan O'Leary 20.0% 16.3% 14.3% 12.0% 10.5% 7.8% 7.3% 5.0% 3.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Griffin Orr 10.8% 10.1% 9.0% 12.9% 10.5% 10.3% 9.0% 9.3% 7.0% 5.2% 2.4% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Andrew Baransky 2.7% 2.6% 2.9% 3.1% 4.4% 5.7% 6.3% 6.9% 7.9% 10.0% 13.1% 14.4% 12.9% 7.1%
Daniel Christiani 1.0% 1.4% 1.4% 1.5% 1.4% 2.0% 2.5% 4.0% 5.0% 6.2% 6.1% 13.1% 25.2% 29.2%
Rachel Kozicz 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 2.0% 4.1% 6.7% 8.9% 20.3% 48.1%
Andrew Beckmann 3.4% 3.1% 4.0% 4.2% 5.9% 4.2% 6.0% 7.6% 9.9% 10.5% 13.2% 12.4% 10.1% 5.5%
Benjaim Helfand 4.9% 3.9% 7.2% 6.2% 6.5% 7.8% 8.6% 8.9% 10.1% 9.6% 12.0% 7.9% 5.1% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.