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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+1.52vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.82+2.41vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+0.56vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.09-0.74vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56+2.14vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+0.26vs Predicted
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7-0.06-1.07vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.05-2.10vs Predicted
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9University of Miami-0.53-1.86vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-2.28-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-2.83-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52College of Charleston1.8133.1%1st Place
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4.41Jacksonville University0.8210.7%1st Place
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3.56University of South Florida1.0916.0%1st Place
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3.26North Carolina State University1.0919.6%1st Place
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7.14Georgia Institute of Technology-0.562.3%1st Place
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6.26Eckerd College-0.174.7%1st Place
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5.93-0.065.2%1st Place
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5.9Florida State University0.055.4%1st Place
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7.14University of Miami-0.532.4%1st Place
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9.66Embry-Riddle University-2.280.5%1st Place
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10.21University of Georgia-2.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 33.1% | 24.4% | 18.4% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.0% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 19.6% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 22.2% | 9.7% | 2.6% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| KA Hamner | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Danielle Ketner | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 22.7% | 9.7% | 1.6% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 40.5% | 34.9% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 25.9% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.