Race 9A

north-fall-2-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Griffin Orr 10.6% 11.7% 11.8% 10.6% 10.8% 10.5% 7.5% 7.4% 6.6% 5.0% 4.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Duncan Howes 16.6% 14.2% 14.1% 12.1% 11.7% 9.7% 7.6% 6.1% 3.8% 1.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Brendan O'Leary 19.4% 17.2% 14.0% 13.0% 10.2% 7.6% 8.2% 4.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Maria Sinagra 9.9% 12.2% 13.6% 9.6% 12.3% 10.5% 8.0% 8.3% 7.1% 3.5% 2.8% 1.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Conor Cashel 9.6% 12.6% 11.5% 13.0% 11.5% 9.2% 8.6% 9.0% 6.4% 3.9% 2.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Emily Bicks 5.0% 4.6% 5.2% 7.1% 7.1% 8.9% 8.5% 7.8% 10.0% 9.9% 10.2% 9.2% 4.9% 1.6%
Benjaim Helfand 5.3% 6.7% 5.0% 6.8% 6.0% 6.7% 9.2% 10.7% 9.1% 10.4% 9.5% 9.1% 4.2% 1.3%
Arielle Morgan 5.9% 4.8% 6.2% 6.3% 6.2% 6.6% 8.5% 8.7% 9.6% 10.6% 8.8% 9.4% 6.9% 1.5%
Nathan Fast 5.9% 4.5% 5.8% 5.7% 6.2% 7.0% 10.1% 9.8% 10.7% 10.9% 10.3% 6.9% 4.2% 2.0%
Andrew Beckmann 3.3% 2.8% 2.5% 3.8% 4.7% 7.1% 6.4% 8.6% 7.7% 9.5% 12.9% 13.5% 10.4% 6.8%
Daniel Christiani 1.1% 1.6% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 3.6% 4.8% 5.3% 8.8% 11.4% 25.5% 29.5%
Andrew Baransky 2.4% 3.1% 2.8% 4.5% 3.9% 6.1% 5.8% 6.4% 7.9% 13.0% 11.2% 13.6% 12.3% 7.0%
Rachel Kozicz 1.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 2.3% 3.9% 5.4% 9.1% 21.2% 47.2%
Andrew Murphy 3.8% 3.3% 5.5% 4.8% 6.9% 6.6% 6.9% 6.9% 10.6% 11.0% 11.6% 11.8% 7.7% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.