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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+1.46vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.09+0.50vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.48+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.38+1.81vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56+1.04vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.05-1.16vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-2.28+1.68vs Predicted
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9University of Georgia-2.83+1.21vs Predicted
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10-0.06-4.04vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.17-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46College of Charleston1.8134.0%1st Place
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3.22North Carolina State University1.0920.4%1st Place
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3.5University of South Florida1.0916.9%1st Place
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5.11Jacksonville University0.486.8%1st Place
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6.81University of Miami-0.382.8%1st Place
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7.04Georgia Institute of Technology-0.563.4%1st Place
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5.84Florida State University0.055.3%1st Place
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9.68Embry-Riddle University-2.280.6%1st Place
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10.21University of Georgia-2.830.3%1st Place
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5.96-0.064.6%1st Place
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6.18Eckerd College-0.174.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 34.0% | 24.9% | 19.6% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 20.4% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 16.9% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Johnston | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 20.8% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 23.1% | 12.2% | 1.5% |
| Niah Ford | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 41.1% | 34.8% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 25.6% | 60.6% |
| KA Hamner | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.