Race 10A

north-fall-2-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Brendan O'Leary 19.3% 18.7% 15.6% 10.7% 9.0% 8.5% 6.1% 4.8% 2.6% 2.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Duncan Howes 17.4% 14.3% 12.8% 12.0% 12.3% 10.8% 6.9% 5.0% 3.9% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Maria Sinagra 11.4% 12.6% 11.7% 11.1% 10.1% 10.3% 9.6% 8.1% 5.9% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Nathan Fast 3.9% 5.4% 7.1% 6.9% 5.9% 9.2% 8.5% 9.3% 9.5% 10.1% 9.9% 7.9% 4.7% 1.7%
Conor Cashel 10.0% 11.7% 11.8% 12.6% 11.6% 9.4% 8.8% 7.8% 6.5% 4.4% 2.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Griffin Orr 10.8% 9.5% 11.3% 10.9% 10.9% 10.0% 7.4% 9.5% 6.0% 7.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Arielle Morgan 6.2% 5.8% 5.6% 7.5% 6.3% 7.0% 9.9% 7.9% 9.9% 8.6% 10.0% 9.4% 4.1% 1.8%
Daniel Christiani 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.0% 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 3.1% 4.8% 5.5% 8.7% 10.3% 24.3% 29.2%
Andrew Beckmann 3.5% 2.7% 3.0% 3.4% 5.3% 5.5% 5.8% 8.4% 8.6% 11.4% 13.5% 11.9% 12.6% 4.4%
Andrew Baransky 2.8% 2.8% 2.6% 3.6% 4.6% 5.6% 7.0% 5.9% 8.7% 8.7% 12.9% 16.5% 12.4% 5.9%
Emily Bicks 4.2% 5.7% 5.9% 6.5% 7.1% 7.7% 7.8% 9.6% 10.7% 9.7% 8.6% 8.9% 5.3% 2.3%
Benjaim Helfand 4.5% 4.1% 5.4% 7.0% 8.0% 6.2% 10.0% 9.6% 9.3% 9.4% 8.7% 9.3% 6.5% 2.0%
Andrew Murphy 4.1% 4.3% 4.3% 4.7% 5.9% 5.4% 7.9% 9.2% 10.3% 11.3% 9.5% 11.1% 8.6% 3.4%
Rachel Kozicz 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 1.2% 1.8% 3.3% 4.5% 6.6% 8.0% 18.9% 49.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.