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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.81+1.46vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.09+1.48vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+0.16vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.48+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.38+1.79vs Predicted
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6Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56+1.08vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17-0.76vs Predicted
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8-0.06-2.16vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.05-3.03vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-2.28-0.24vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-2.83-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46College of Charleston1.8133.4%1st Place
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3.48University of South Florida1.0917.4%1st Place
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3.16North Carolina State University1.0921.6%1st Place
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5.07Jacksonville University0.487.8%1st Place
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6.79University of Miami-0.383.1%1st Place
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7.08Georgia Institute of Technology-0.562.4%1st Place
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6.24Eckerd College-0.174.2%1st Place
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5.84-0.065.1%1st Place
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5.97Florida State University0.054.1%1st Place
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9.76Embry-Riddle University-2.280.5%1st Place
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10.15University of Georgia-2.830.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 33.4% | 25.9% | 19.2% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 17.4% | 18.4% | 18.7% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 21.6% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Laura Johnston | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 8.5% | 0.9% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 22.9% | 10.2% | 2.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 5.8% | 0.7% |
| KA Hamner | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Niah Ford | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 41.1% | 36.1% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 24.9% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.