Race 12A

north-fall-2-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Conor Cashel 11.3% 13.1% 13.9% 11.0% 11.2% 8.6% 9.2% 7.7% 4.4% 4.1% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Brendan O'Leary 19.5% 16.9% 16.2% 12.4% 11.5% 8.2% 5.5% 3.8% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Griffin Orr 11.5% 11.1% 10.3% 11.7% 9.7% 10.1% 9.7% 7.5% 6.9% 5.7% 3.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Duncan Howes 13.9% 16.0% 12.7% 13.2% 11.8% 8.5% 8.0% 6.8% 3.6% 2.4% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Bicks 3.9% 4.7% 6.3% 6.9% 7.7% 8.1% 7.7% 9.5% 9.5% 9.5% 10.2% 8.3% 5.8% 1.9%
Benjaim Helfand 4.7% 4.4% 5.1% 5.1% 6.4% 8.1% 9.6% 9.1% 10.4% 10.3% 9.0% 9.2% 6.9% 1.7%
Nathan Fast 5.6% 6.6% 6.7% 6.9% 6.8% 7.7% 9.6% 10.6% 8.4% 9.2% 9.8% 7.4% 3.7% 1.0%
Maria Sinagra 12.9% 11.0% 11.9% 10.6% 10.7% 10.0% 8.1% 7.5% 5.9% 5.0% 3.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Andrew Beckmann 4.2% 2.6% 2.6% 4.9% 4.2% 5.7% 5.7% 7.3% 10.0% 11.9% 12.0% 14.5% 9.3% 5.1%
Andrew Baransky 2.7% 3.0% 2.8% 2.2% 4.5% 6.4% 5.9% 7.8% 9.1% 9.6% 11.1% 15.4% 12.4% 7.1%
Arielle Morgan 4.7% 4.6% 5.3% 6.3% 6.9% 8.2% 8.9% 8.3% 9.4% 12.0% 9.7% 7.9% 6.0% 1.8%
Andrew Murphy 3.3% 3.5% 3.9% 5.6% 5.9% 7.5% 6.5% 8.2% 11.5% 9.3% 10.8% 10.4% 9.5% 4.1%
Rachel Kozicz 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 2.3% 2.4% 2.9% 3.7% 6.3% 8.2% 18.9% 49.5%
Daniel Christiani 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 2.2% 3.3% 3.5% 5.2% 5.5% 7.9% 12.0% 25.7% 27.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.