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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.09+2.45vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.81+0.49vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+0.12vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.05+1.98vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.48+0.12vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+0.16vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.38-0.24vs Predicted
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8-0.06-2.07vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-0.56-1.80vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-2.28-0.41vs Predicted
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11University of Georgia-2.83-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45University of South Florida1.0918.5%1st Place
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2.49College of Charleston1.8133.6%1st Place
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3.12North Carolina State University1.0920.9%1st Place
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5.98Florida State University0.054.4%1st Place
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5.12Jacksonville University0.487.5%1st Place
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6.16Eckerd College-0.173.9%1st Place
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6.76University of Miami-0.382.9%1st Place
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5.93-0.064.8%1st Place
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7.2Georgia Institute of Technology-0.562.9%1st Place
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9.59Embry-Riddle University-2.280.4%1st Place
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10.21University of Georgia-2.830.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Shakespeare | 18.5% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 33.6% | 24.6% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 20.9% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lily Schwartz | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Laura Johnston | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 8.3% | 1.2% |
| KA Hamner | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Kaitlyn Bagnoni | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.6% |
| Emerson Bergan | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 40.7% | 33.5% |
| Abigail Austin | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 23.9% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.