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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.31+5.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.78+2.62vs Predicted
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3Stanford University1.64+2.17vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.33+1.98vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.55+2.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.86+2.68vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.71-1.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.42+1.15vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University1.47-3.07vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22-0.59vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.86-3.44vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-0.39+0.11vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy0.53-4.91vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-1.98+0.51vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.38-1.67vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-0.82-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03University of Hawaii1.3110.1%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Santa Barbara1.7815.6%1st Place
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5.17Stanford University1.6411.8%1st Place
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5.98Western Washington University1.3310.2%1st Place
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7.07University of Washington-2.557.0%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.864.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Southern California1.7112.2%1st Place
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9.15University of California at San Diego0.423.5%1st Place
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5.93San Diego State University1.478.8%1st Place
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9.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.223.4%1st Place
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7.56University of California at Berkeley0.865.5%1st Place
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12.11Arizona State University-0.391.2%1st Place
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8.09California Poly Maritime Academy0.534.9%1st Place
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14.51California State University Channel Islands-1.980.4%1st Place
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13.33Santa Clara University-1.380.8%1st Place
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13.18University of Oregon-0.820.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everett McAvoy | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whidden | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Adam Turloff | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Aston Smith | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 18.1% | 8.6% |
| Sam Jennings | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 21.1% | 49.1% |
| Chase VanDerveer | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 25.1% | 21.2% |
| Sadie Creemer | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 20.3% | 24.7% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.