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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University2.37+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.20+5.62vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame-0.25+5.53vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.31+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas1.41-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.72-3.57vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University1.25-2.87vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.15-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois0.54-3.36vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University0.69-4.57vs Predicted
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12Marquette University-0.60-2.60vs Predicted
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13Denison University-1.36-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0Northwestern University2.370.2%1st Place
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7.62University of Minnesota0.200.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Notre Dame-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Michigan1.310.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Saint Thomas1.410.1%1st Place
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2.43University of Wisconsin2.720.4%1st Place
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5.13Western Michigan University1.250.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Chicago-0.150.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Illinois0.540.0%1st Place
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6.43Ohio State University0.690.1%1st Place
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9.4Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.63Denison University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Cornew | 22.9% | 23.5% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Lund | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| John O'Brien | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 9.3% |
| Sammy Barbour | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Wilson | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Boylan | 36.0% | 26.0% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Trost | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Miles Lubin | 1.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 8.8% |
| Megan Dawson | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Anthony Julian | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Philip Niles | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 23.6% | 20.8% |
| Blair Cathcart | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.