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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.06vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.17+1.74vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31-0.99vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67+0.43vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.09+0.04vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.90-0.88vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.79-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Olin College of Engineering0.2218.9%1st Place
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3.74Northeastern University-0.1712.4%1st Place
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2.01Salve Regina University1.3143.9%1st Place
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4.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.677.8%1st Place
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5.04University of New Hampshire-1.094.5%1st Place
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5.12Williams College-0.904.5%1st Place
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4.6Middlebury College-0.798.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jagielski | 18.9% | 23.6% | 20.2% | 17.3% | 11.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 12.4% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 6.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 43.9% | 27.8% | 16.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Burt | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 15.2% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 26.7% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 21.6% | 30.1% |
| Grace Augspurger | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.