← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University1.31+1.00vs Predicted
-
2Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.08vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University-0.17+0.75vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.67+0.36vs Predicted
-
5University of New Hampshire-1.09+0.08vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College-0.79-1.38vs Predicted
-
7Williams College-0.90-1.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.0Salve Regina University1.3144.5%1st Place
-
3.08Olin College of Engineering0.2218.8%1st Place
-
3.75Northeastern University-0.1712.5%1st Place
-
4.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.677.8%1st Place
-
5.08University of New Hampshire-1.095.4%1st Place
-
4.62Middlebury College-0.796.2%1st Place
-
5.1Williams College-0.904.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 44.5% | 27.6% | 16.4% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 18.8% | 23.5% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 12.5% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 6.5% |
| Caleb Burt | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 13.7% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 29.7% |
| Grace Augspurger | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 20.5% | 17.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.